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Forums - Website Topics - How do YOU make predictions in the prediction league?

I usually just guestimate. If a game is a sequel, I relate it to the last game in the series, and what console it is on. For consoles, I relate to what it sold last year, and what the current situation is. (prices, ect.)

 

How do YOU make predictions in the prediction league?



And that's the only thing I need is *this*. I don't need this or this. Just this PS4... And this gaming PC. - The PS4 and the Gaming PC and that's all I need... And this Xbox 360. - The PS4, the Gaming PC, and the Xbox 360, and that's all I need... And these PS3's. - The PS4, and these PS3's, and the Gaming PC, and the Xbox 360... And this Nintendo DS. - The PS4, this Xbox 360, and the Gaming PC, and the PS3's, and that's all *I* need. And that's *all* I need too. I don't need one other thing, not one... I need this. - The Gaming PC and PS4, and Xbox 360, and thePS3's . Well what are you looking at? What do you think I'm some kind of a jerk or something! - And this. That's all I need.

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I have a look at the previous weekly charts, and some of the other bets. If it's a game currently out, I have a look at LTD sales for that game, and its last week in the region I am predicting.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

I type down random numbers and hope for the best.



I go in and modify everyone's bets so they are off ever so slightly. They don't notice since the change is so minor. I then bet what the numbers will be and put lots of money on it. By doing this I earn extra VG$


just kidding..... or am I




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

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nordlead said:
I go in and modify everyone's bets so they are off ever so slightly. They don't notice since the change is so minor. I then bet what the numbers will be and put lots of money on it. By doing this I earn extra VG$


just kidding..... or am I

very likely since you are the one who can...

No u are just sneaky and wait for the avarage predictions and improve them a bit.

 

 



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

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kirby007 said:
nordlead said:
I go in and modify everyone's bets so they are off ever so slightly. They don't notice since the change is so minor. I then bet what the numbers will be and put lots of money on it. By doing this I earn extra VG$


just kidding..... or am I

very likely since you are the one who can...

No u are just sneaky and wait for the avarage predictions and improve them a bit.

 

 

actually, I only look at those to determine how much I want to bet. If I feel the average is really far off, I'll place a larger bet. However, the farther away from average you are the greater risk you're taking.

I used to always make my prediction tuesday morning, but then people started copying my answers so I started doing them tuesday night or wednesday morning.

 




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)

nordlead said:
kirby007 said:
nordlead said:
I go in and modify everyone's bets so they are off ever so slightly. They don't notice since the change is so minor. I then bet what the numbers will be and put lots of money on it. By doing this I earn extra VG$


just kidding..... or am I

very likely since you are the one who can...

No u are just sneaky and wait for the avarage predictions and improve them a bit.

 

 

actually, I only look at those to determine how much I want to bet. If I feel the average is really far off, I'll place a larger bet. However, the farther away from average you are the greater risk you're taking.

I used to always make my prediction tuesday morning, but then people started copying my answers so I started doing them tuesday night or wednesday morning.

 

cant we get a timer for the closing of each round?

 



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

The rounds close ~7AM EST (noon GMT). You can set a timer on your computer if you want. It isn't that hard.




If you drop a PS3 right on top of a Wii, it would definitely defeat it. Not so sure about the Xbox360. - mancandy
In the past we played games. In the future we watch games. - Forest-Spirit
11/03/09 Desposit: Mod Bribery (RolStoppable)  vg$ 500.00
06/03/09 Purchase: Moderator Privilege  vg$ -50,000.00

Nordlead Jr. Photo/Video Gallery!!! (Video Added 4/19/10)