mmm, between 250k-275k, so i think that he will sell more than 500k life time for sure.

280k.

345,729

I disagree, your off by about 5 copies.

Not too big outside of Japan. I'll get it myself if reviews fare nicely with it, but the sales will be quite low.
I expect around 300k first week and perhaps twice that lifetime.

^BTW I expect the game to do about 60% of total sales. I'm expecting about 550k LT sales.

The other games sold 20% for the first (new ips usually have longer legs with sequals being more front loaded) and 40% for the second. I expect another % increase for first week sales because that just seems the way games are going for in japan right now. (at least hd ones)

So if it doesnt meet my first week expectations I just assume it'll have longer legs and will no way be a flop if it doesnt.

I expect:

350k
100k
40k
10k
1-4k till it reaches about 550k

If it does like the other games i expect

220k
90k
45k
25k
15k
13k
11k
9k
7k
5k
5k
5k
5k
1-4k till it reaches 550k

I don't think it'll pull another MGS4 miracle. Hard to know for sure, since I'm not too familiar with the series, but...

My guess is 240k first week, 460k lifetime. That would still make it the PS3's 4th best selling game, topping Dynasty Warriors (and WKC).

300k first week

210k first week
490k lifetime
but I hope for more & a western release for BOTH PS3 Yakuza games.

Is that cell as in cell phone and Sega calls like mad all over the place to get people to buy the game?  Not sure what hardware prowless will do to drive sales like crazy.