does the Wii stand a chance of selling 100 million in america's alone? PS2 recently passed 50 million in NA and with Wii selling as fast as nintendo can stock them its possible. The Wii is tracking ahead of the PS2 as well I believe (although I could be wrong). What are your thoughts? Is it crazy or could Wii accomplish a significent record?
Manchester United 2008-09 Season - Trophies & Records
There are 300 million people in the US. Then there's 30M from canada, and let's be generous and say 30M more.
Now, the average is ~ 3.5 people pr family. Let's be generous and say 3 people.
That means there are, currently, 120M homes.
Now, over the next 5 years (which the Wii are going to sell during), some of these homes will expand (due to kids moving out, making a new home. The Wii stays at the original house, and they buy a new one for the next), so let's be a bit generous and say 150M.
So there are, maximum, 150M homes in the Americas (140M is more likely).
I can't think of anything, in any country, that has a 66% penetration rate (things that are made by one company), can you?
Now, 100M just starts seeming even more hopeless, considering that the Ps3 and X360 exist as well.
Case is, they're going to sell close to 50M combined, but let's be generous (for the Wii), and say 40M (that's just 18M more...)
Now, let's say that 50% of those Ps360 owners also own a Wii (unlikely). That means that 20M of the 150M houses are gone to the Ps3/X360.
The Wii now needs a 75% penetration rate. I sincerely doubt it (or anything!) can make that.
http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261
That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS
I predict around 60 million lifetime in America not 100.
Don't Worry.....Be Happy
Meh, 100 million no way, 50, yeah, 60, quite probable. Other than that.. dunno, we'll have to wait and see.
Nintendo Network ID: Cheebee 3DS Code: 2320 - 6113 - 9046
Its possible, probably between 75-125 million Wii's sold across North and South America by 2015
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
unlikely.
| Dgc1808 said: don'tbet your kidney. |
Don't worry, I only put up my appendix
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
70 million should be considered the high end of the sales range.
100 million just defies logistics.
The rEVOLution is not being televised
About Us |
Terms of Use |
Privacy Policy |
Advertise |
Staff |
Contact
Display As Desktop
Display As Mobile
© 2006-2025 VGChartz Ltd. All rights reserved.
