Forums - Gaming Discussion - 9 Reasons Why Blu-Ray Will Succeed

FishyJoe said:
It depends on what you call success.

If you rate success as sharing the spotlight with DVD and digital downloads, then yeah it will be successful.

If you define success as having the same market share as DVD at its peak, then no blu-ray will never achieve that level of success.

Well, BD consortium may well be content with this "second choice" success, as it would happen in a very enlarged market, so even not reaching DVD's share, it could possibly exceed its absolute numbers.

Anyway DVD is getting its maximum spread during the last 2-3 years (even more on PC's, as prices dropped first under the $100 psychological threshold), since commodity priced players first, writers after, started appearing. In the same way BD won't get its best until these same conditions are satisfied. But this is about drives, blank media will gain the same success as soon as they get cheap, because their capacity is a clear advantage, OTOH recorded contents could struggle  more if not heavily helped by the majors, as as long as a consistent price difference will exist between the same title in BD and DVD, most people will buy more expensive BD versions only for the best movies and/or those with heavier use of effects, or the best photography, etc.

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Nice reasons, although i agree with "drpunk" on reason 8. I think one other thing you might need to factor in is blu-ray adoption rate vs. download adoption rate (ie. NXE). I can't see blu-ray losing from this point onwards.

i think that reason 8 and 9 are not that valid like the other ones.

once every1 can afford DSL or when fast internet connection is cheap enough lets say $15-30 per month alone not including anything else then digital download will be big which eventually will i guess but of course there are people like me in the masses who like to collect dvds and who doesnt right so i guess dvds and blu ray will be around for a while but the main stream people like old folks, kids, casual people, people who dont care about quality, people who dont have blu ray players etc will not get blu ray anytime soon and that's the problem, so its about waiting it out and hope that these people come to their sense and one day want to see something awesome that has better picture and that might be for a while so sonys blu ray will have to wait it out.


Agree about some reasons being not so strong, some of them can help, but start mattering when most of the other conditions are satisfied, not by themselves. Reason 8 in particular matters only because Sony almost sacrificed PS3 for it and also because it owns a lot of big studios, simple Sony will and needs without all the resources, sacrifices and efforts it backed them with wouldn't have much effect.

Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
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GrotesqueOne said:

1. Digital downloads will not eliminate the need for discs anytime soon.

Stop whining you girly man.  Netflix, Apple TV, Hulu, sites like Fox On Demand, etc. It is good enough for the time being.

2. Having one clear standard is a big advantage.

No, it gives capitalist competition.

3. Blu-ray isn't going to be replaced by another disc format anytime soon.

HVD anyone?

4. Prices for large-screen HDTVs will continue to drop.

True but in a recession people tend to stick to basics.

5. Prices for Blu-ray players will continue to drop.

See above.

6. Prices for Blu-ray discs will drop to near DVD price levels.


7. Sony will sell lots of PlayStation 3 game consoles.

Another fanboy, jeesh. + why would most people w/ a sub $100 BD player in the near future?

8. Sony can't afford to have Blu-ray fail.

Yes it can.  It is a big company that can make up another format.  They are no newbies at doing that ;)

9. Sony and its partners will figure out a way to have Blu-ray resonate with the public.

They sure are doing a heck of a good job at it now, aren't they?



Blu-ray won the format war for this generation of media. Will it be a success because of it? That is debatable.

I have 30 HD DVDs, 1,000 DVDs, 20 Blu-rays, and 2 VHS tape media so I feel I am a bit of a collector. About 6 months ago I downloaded my first movie from Live Marketplace. I have only bought one physical media movie since. Why buy, when I can download and watch for much less cost and it doesn't take any space in my home.

I know a lot of people don't have high speed internet, but the ones that do should give it a try. I'm not going back to physical media again! To me, physical media is dead.