| madskillz said: Folks love to quote the PS3's YoY stuff, and say how the PS3 is on track with the 360 sales curve. This is really a flawed argument. Too many assumptions. For one, those who are clinging to those numbers for life are under the assumption the same people who bought a 360 will also buy a PS3 when the price is right. Even though I enjoy my PS3, I have the luxury of owning all 3 systems and having a very healthy collection of games. However, if I was broke, I'd look at and focus on the one console that will offer me a great value and satisfy my gaming needs. This economic downturn is showing no signs of slowing. This unfortunate turn of events has set its crosshairs squarely on the premium label, Sony. MS, with their year start, and Ninny, which has yet to consider a price cut, are benefiting the most from the downturn. MS is making a profit, as well as Ninny. They are still tops in software sales and enjoy being the cheapiest next-gen consoles on the market. While folks still flock to Sony to buy PS3s, they aren't all buying as many games with their new system as they are with MS and the Wii. To overcome this 8M lead in a matter of months assumes MS will just sit around and let it happen - for 8 months. MS is in the biz to topple Sony's iron grip and that's been mission accomplished. They have used Sony's playbook the past two gens against the mighty warrior. They have secured several exclusives (though timed), have made DLC and LIVE - with streaming Netflix movies - a huge selling point, and with the NXE update, forced people who didn't have a hard drive to get one AND - and - in the process, quietly gave backwards compatiblity back to most 360 owners. In the end, MS will let Sony gain marketshare and will thwart their momentum with a sliver of a pricecut. Mark my words - when Sony passes MS, it will be a non-issue and will be nearing release on the 720. |
Marked. And what's the release with a new system have to make anything a non-issue? but please, this is not intented to be a question for madskillz, since he obviously gave his answere already. I just wonder, isn't the point of any system to make profit for as long as it can be on the market? If the PS2 is still on the market is because it can turn a profit, whereas the first Xbox is not, and the reason is obvious. The PS3 won't EVER turn a profit for Sony (in LTD sales), and anybody who visits videogame sites with a passion as I would deem somebody like madskillz (who I believe it's more into this than most of us) should know this, since Sony itself have admited it! Sony has lost so much money with the PS3 it's very likely even after 10 years (2016) they won't see a very significant return. With that out of the way, now let's find some logic on these marked words. Dominant companies of the past, both Nintendo and Sony, never had the unrgency of releasing new hardware. When a product is the king with close to no threats, there's little incentive to invest in R&D and new hardware and jump to another platform and inevitably start phasing out your current king. But all products die, even kings. The point is how they die.
Nintendo phased out the 8-bit NES, but not after Sega (and others like NEC's Turbo-16) had taken the step first. Same happened with the SNES. Later the PS1 saw the Dreamcast take the lead, and the PS2 saw the X360 inaugurate the current generation. Of all the previous generation consoles I only know of 2 complete failures that were rapidly discontinued, those are Sega's Saturn and Microsoft's Xbox (Sega Dreamcast lived long in Japan, officially discontinued in 2006). In the case of Sega, the Dreamcast failed to be their saviour after one big loss, and perhaps at the end of its days it got some earnings, but it didn't improve Sega's situation. Microsoft lost over 4.5 billion with their first attempt, all that money coupled with more than 1 billion spent in manufacturing issues with the 360 is no cookie to be taken lightly. They are making a profit already, that's right, but do we know how much? How much are they gaining after their latest cut? Is someone forgetting here the 360 is sold at $200 in 2009? A quick googling will reveal you what kind of sales you could expect of a "healthy" console selling at this price, even more so 5 or 6 years back. Is Microsoft "stealing home" today when they had such a big holiday season with a price point of $199.99, but even with that price point they are not outselling their competitors 2:1 or close to it? How long will it take now to make the real profit a company like MS would deem their GOAL with a system they have invested so much in? Could they afford to just phase out the 360 in 3 years? will the 360 by then have reached the level of profit is expected of it? People like madskillz seem to believe they could trash the 360 like yesterday's paper sooner rather than later. I think is too soon to be speaking in those terms, big investments are expected to return big profits. It's how it works or they are put off. The PS3 will very well live to be 9 or 10 (as of now, they are save, but barely, it could change of course nothing is definite), it's doubtful it'll return even half the profit the big suits dreamed of it after all those years. Make no mistake, Microsoft is not a bunch of fools or sporty chaps, they won't substitute their cow until every one of its tits go dry. As for Sony, they will surely release a new videogame console just in time NINTENDO starts preparing a new one. You can mark MY words on that. It's Nintendo the leader anyone with 2cc of gray matter will look up to.









