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Forums - Sales - THE GAP - PS3 can't catch the XBOX360 - pure mathematics

The said:
I'd love to revisit these threads about the gap when GOW3, GT5, FF13, Uncharted 2 and any other major hit in 2010 are all out at the same time with the PS3 at $300.

 

You mean just like LBP, DMC, GTA4, MGS4, [fill in other big game] did in 2008?

When will you people realize PS3 needs a lot more than just a couple arbitrarily big games? Those titles only help PS1&2 win because it happened so early in the lifecycle for the machine. PS3's days of being saved by a big name title are over.

It needs to continue its game selection as it is already doing well and match that with big price breaks. Unfortunately the price breaks won't be big since Sony as a whole is losing too much money already.

I expected zero dollars off last year and said that at best $50 off will come this year. $350 PS3 even with GT5 and FF13 won't put it into the stratosphere. It will increase its sales volume, sure, but 360 will just match the price drop and will still remain at least at the same weekly sales as the PS3.

At this point, the only hope Sony has for PS3 to get 2nd is for LTD sales due to MS killing off 360 prematurely, which won't happen anyways since they now own all of the hardware specs and will keep selling the 360 even after the neXtBox is out.

I agree with the overall summation of the OP, the current standings are done.

1. Wii ~150m

2. 360 ~46

3. PS3 ~44

However, unlike last gen, all three will do well financially as the disparity between 1st and 2/3 will be closer. Wii will not have 75% marketshare unless it sells well over 200m since PS360 will combine for around 90m.



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^Thanks for replying to my post, but it's not that time yet.

Like I said, I'd love to revisit these threads about the gap when GOW3, GT5, FF13, Uncharted 2 and any other major hit in 2010 are all out at the same time with the PS3 at $300.



All those games will do nothing for the ps3 in the long term.



^We all appreciate your crystal-ball comments.



Thanks for the appreciation. I like when people accept they're wrong.



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If we are talking about Worldwide sales the PS3 will easily outsell the 360 by far more than just 50k units/week. I think 100-150k is more realistic on a global scale.

The Ps3 also has a 10 year life span, so 3 years is really just half of its life cycle if you think about it, but it will likely have passed the 360 in 2 years at most.



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drboot said:
If we are talking about Worldwide sales the PS3 will easily outsell the 360 by far more than just 50k units/week. I think 100-150k is more realistic on a global scale.

The Ps3 also has a 10 year life span, so 3 years is really just half of its life cycle if you think about it, but it will likely have passed the 360 in 2 years at most.

 

 

The ps3 (and the 360) wont last 10 years. The ps2 hasn't even been out that long. The HD consoles simply aren't selling enough and don't have enough industry support to last that long. The wii on the other hand probably will.



Folks love to quote the PS3's YoY stuff, and say how the PS3 is on track with the 360 sales curve.

This is really a flawed argument. Too many assumptions. For one, those who are clinging to those numbers for life are under the assumption the same people who bought a 360 will also buy a PS3 when the price is right.

Even though I enjoy my PS3, I have the luxury of owning all 3 systems and having a very healthy collection of games. However, if I was broke, I'd look at and focus on the one console that will offer me a great value and satisfy my gaming needs.

This economic downturn is showing no signs of slowing. This unfortunate turn of events has set its crosshairs squarely on the premium label, Sony. MS, with their year start, and Ninny, which has yet to consider a price cut, are benefiting the most from the downturn. MS is making a profit, as well as Ninny. They are still tops in software sales and enjoy being the cheapiest next-gen consoles on the market. While folks still flock to Sony to buy PS3s, they aren't all buying as many games with their new system as they are with MS and the Wii.

To overcome this 8M lead in a matter of months assumes MS will just sit around and let it happen - for 8 months. MS is in the biz to topple Sony's iron grip and that's been mission accomplished.

They have used Sony's playbook the past two gens against the mighty warrior. They have secured several exclusives (though timed), have made DLC and LIVE - with streaming Netflix movies - a huge selling point, and with the NXE update, forced people who didn't have a hard drive to get one AND - and - in the process, quietly gave backwards compatiblity back to most 360 owners.

In the end, MS will let Sony gain marketshare and will thwart their momentum with a sliver of a pricecut.

Mark my words - when Sony passes MS, it will be a non-issue and will be nearing release on the 720.



It's the 10 year plan man! Don't you know? Even if MS has moved on to their new system in 2011 (guessing) at the end of the PS3 life cycle they'll be ahead cuz Sony dictates when the new generation start so around 2017 the PS3 would have totally outsold the 360!



What are you looking at, nerd?