THE GAP - PS3 can't catch the XBOX360 - pure mathematics

[madskillz]

Folks love to quote the PS3's YoY stuff, and say how the PS3 is on track with the 360 sales curve.

This is really a flawed argument. Too many assumptions. For one, those who are clinging to those numbers for life are under the assumption the same people who bought a 360 will also buy a PS3 when the price is right.

Even though I enjoy my PS3, I have the luxury of owning all 3 systems and having a very healthy collection of games. However, if I was broke, I'd look at and focus on the one console that will offer me a great value and satisfy my gaming needs.

This economic downturn is showing no signs of slowing. This unfortunate turn of events has set its crosshairs squarely on the premium label, Sony. MS, with their year start, and Ninny, which has yet to consider a price cut, are benefiting the most from the downturn. MS is making a profit, as well as Ninny. They are still tops in software sales and enjoy being the cheapiest next-gen consoles on the market. While folks still flock to Sony to buy PS3s, they aren't all buying as many games with their new system as they are with MS and the Wii.

To overcome this 8M lead in a matter of months assumes MS will just sit around and let it happen - for 8 months. MS is in the biz to topple Sony's iron grip and that's been mission accomplished.

They have used Sony's playbook the past two gens against the mighty warrior. They have secured several exclusives (though timed), have made DLC and LIVE - with streaming Netflix movies - a huge selling point, and with the NXE update, forced people who didn't have a hard drive to get one AND - and - in the process, quietly gave backwards compatiblity back to most 360 owners.

In the end, MS will let Sony gain marketshare and will thwart their momentum with a sliver of a pricecut.

Mark my words - when Sony passes MS, it will be a non-issue and will be nearing release on the 720.