The game the Conduit seen as hardcore game coming soon to the Wii have left me wondering if the can generate decent sales on the Wii.

Here are Pros and Cons for the expected sales of the Conduit. 

Pros: The Conduit appears to be a great game with good gameplay and has won many awards for viewings at gaming                expo's.

         Is the first great FPS exclusive for the Wii allowing to capitalize on the Wii owners desperate for a good FPS

         A great amount of positive press surrounding the game

         On the Wii that has sold 46 million consoles worldwide giving the game a great install base to work with

Cons:The Wii hasnt extactly seen good sales for hard core third party games for the Wii 

          FPS have sold poorly on the Wii with the exeption of Red Steel that had a huge amount of hype

          Hype for the game isnt nearly as high as say Killzone 2 and Resident evil 5  

          First in the series so it may be overlooked.

Im predicting that while it wont have high first week sales it will perform well in the long run and if released mid year as its looking to be  could sell upwards of three million.

Please leave you opinions as to what you think the sales of the game will be like.

First off, welcome to the forums!

Second, I take issue with your first "con." To the best of my knowledge, there are very few "hard core third party games" for the Wii right now, and of those that have been released most of them have done pretty well for themselves.

That having been said, I think the game will do well because it is, as you say, an exclusive game in a genre which is underserved so far on the system, but it won't sell anywhere near three million. Also, the audience this game will likely appeal to are the type that buy games shortly after release, so I don't expect its legs to be all that long.

This game doesn't have any local multiplayer, right?
That could well hurt it.

yeaH they really should have put local multiplayer into this

3 Million is just a rediculous number. Twice the sales of Metroid Prime 3? Ten times+ the sales of Medal of Honour: Heroes 2?

The Conduit will be successful but successful on Wii isn't 3 million, it's 500k. If the marketing is amazing and the audience for this type of game on WIi is larger then I suspect and we've seen with previous sales, a million is do-able, anymore I don't think so.

Of course this is the Wii and it has been a bit of an odd-ball with sales so anything is theoretically possible. 3 Million though? No Chance, 1 million would be a huge success that I doubt even SEGA are expecting.

It will have a bit of an uphill struggle.

The misguided few who sold their Wiis in disgust or never got one in protest will feel the need to trash the game - probably without ever playing it.

The journalists who have a vested interest in pretending the Wii either has failed, or will fail, the hardcore will have a marvellous time scoffing and will at best criticise the graphics for being non-HD.

But nevertheless it will sell. There are plenty of us who want to give it a go and plenty others who might be tempted.

Given the expected rash of negative criticism I don't expect it to sellmassively in the first few weeks.

Which will of course spawn another rash of 'Wii isn't for hardcore' posts.

But after that, and if it and the studio survives, it will sell steadily and matbe tempt others in.

If, that is, it is any good. But it will be hard to tell that from the early reviews.

that's true, local multiplayer will affect legs, i mean most games that have legs are multi-player, where someones plays the game with another owner and then buys the game cause the likes it

this happens with most Wii games, local mutliplayer should be added, not necessarily split screen but should have been there... : (

also, i think it's not safe to say Wii has no core games, just look at Zelda, it may be a popular franchise but still a core game at 5 million and counting, which had no multiplayer at all, i hope Conduit can sell 1 million, although i want to believe it will sell much more! : )

Marketing is definitely vital for this game. They should market it similarly to how people market Red Steel.

There should also be an emphasis on Sega's role as the publisher. Since Wii owners trust Sega, many may be tempted to give it a try.

Sega has always been good at marketing their products. They know the hype for this one is huge and I'm positive they'll do their best to market it.

The Conduit sales will depend ultimately on gameplay and it's online multiplayer.

If it's really fun to play and the online is solid (IE: comparible to PC online games) then I do not doubt this will slowly but surely find it's audience. There's a lot of people like me who hate dual analog for FPSs but would enjoy playing one with Wii pixel perfect IR controls from the comfort of their couch.

Even CoDWaW - currently the best FPS on Wii lacks terribly in online. What is there is very solid but there's not much offered.