The Conduit sales will depend ultimately on gameplay and it's online multiplayer.
If it's really fun to play and the online is solid (IE: comparible to PC online games) then I do not doubt this will slowly but surely find it's audience. There's a lot of people like me who hate dual analog for FPSs but would enjoy playing one with Wii pixel perfect IR controls from the comfort of their couch.
Even CoDWaW - currently the best FPS on Wii lacks terribly in online. What is there is very solid but there's not much offered.







