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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: PS3 will sell 100 mln. by the end of 2012

burgerstein on 02 January 2009

If you didn't put so much effort into this I'd say you were trolling. Go get a MRI or something.



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Louie on 02 January 2009

I'll give you a short opinion, as there is one thing a lot of people (not only Crazzyman) do not understand: To keep demand for a console at the same level you have to release new games all the time. You can't take sales numbers of any console and add 10k weekly sales for every exclusive the console will get.

So can we expect the Wii to sell 400m units? It gets a lot of exclusives next year, right?

Look, games like Gran Turismo and Final Fantasy will keep PS3 momentum high in Europe and America. Sales may even increase a bit in Japan but not that much (because the Japanese market isn't big enough to carry 4 consoles that sell more than 3 million units in one year (which would be DS, PSP, Wii and PS3 then).

It is rather easy to understand what I try to say: How many copies will Metal Gear Solid 4 sell in one year on a weekly basis? Devil May Cry? Yakuza? Even Resident Evil? Right, not a lot and because of that they won't have a boosting affect on hardware sales anymore, it's that easy.

Look at New Super Mario Bros. and Mario Kart DS Japan sales - DS hardware sales dropped at the same time sales for those two games dropped. The same goes for Brain Training. As soon as demand for those games dropped hardware sales dropped as well. (Of course that goes vice-versa but you still get my point.)



starbruin on 02 January 2009

you gotta give the man props....he's living up to his name...If they really go on the ten year plan the ps3 may have a shot at 100mil otherwise I don't see it happening



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ymeaga1n on 02 January 2009

yawn...here we go again




MikeB on 02 January 2009

I anticipate around 10 million sales per year on average, until the release of a "PSThree", then I expect the PS3 to sell around 15 million on average.

So 2007 + 2008, about 20 million, I anticipate a slimline PS3 to launch somewhere in 2009. By the end of 2012 about 80 million sales. I do expect the PS3 to stay commercially available for much longer though, so by the end of 2016 about 140 million (triple the amount of 360s I anticipate for the long run).

Of course there are endless yet unknown factors. But I certainly expect the PS3 to go well beyond 100 million for the long run.



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Galaki on 02 January 2009

Give him a break. He still have 4 years under his belt to be proven wrong.
In 4 years, he probably won't be here for you to criticize anyways :)



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PS360ForTheWin on 02 January 2009

The PS3 Is A Great Console and I Love Mine, But It Wont Sell 100m, It Should Sell 50-60m and May Beat the 360 at some point but it wont win this generation or sell 100m consoles ever



amp316 on 02 January 2009
MikeB said:
I anticipate around 10 million sales per year on average, until the release of a "PSThree", then I expect the PS3 to sell around 15 million on average.

So 2007 + 2008, about 20 million, I anticipate a slimline PS3 to launch somewhere in 2009. By the end of 2012 about 80 million sales. I do expect the PS3 to stay commercially available for much long though, so by the end of 2016 about 140 million.

Of course the are endless yet unknown factors. But overall I expect the PS3 to go well beyond 100 million for the long term.

 

So you expect the PS3 to sell 140 million? 

Fair enough.  I also expect it to rain meatballs in five minutes.  This is why I am preparing a plate of spaghetti and ready to run outside. 



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Gabriel84 on 02 January 2009

lol, you are crazy mate



MikeB on 02 January 2009

@ amp316

So you expect the PS3 to sell 140 million?


HDTV penetration is going up (by 2016 a vast majority of TVs in usage), developers have begun to really tap the PS3's potential. A cheaper slimline with a PS2 emulator, then yes I see no reason why not?

IMO at some point biased US media will have to give in, just like with regard to the real situation in Iraq.



Naughty Dog: "At Naughty Dog, we're pretty sure we should be able to see leaps between games on the PS3 that are even bigger than they were on the PS2."

PS3 vs 360 sales