This will be the first thing that the Wii passing the PS2 in, the Wii like the DS tends to sell come games VERY well. I do not see the Wii ever catching the PS2 in the 1 million seller group or the 2 million sellers group.
Right now the Wii has -
- WiiSports (complain about Bundling if you want, it has 3.4 million alone in Japan where it is not)
- WiiPlay
- WiiFit
- MKWii
- SSBB
- SMG
- M&S
- Zelda: TP
- Mario Party 8
The only 2 titles now release with a VERY good shot of reaching 5 million is
- WiiMusic (almost a sure thing)
- Animal Crossing- has a very good Chance
Ok so that would put us at 11, 1 short.
WiiSports resorts is a sure 5 million seller (prolly a sure 10 million seller with WiiMotion+ bundled)
So there we have it, that should equal the PS2, possibly by this time next year.
Here is a list of game with a chance, not necesarily a good one, some are not annoucnce but we know they are coming.
- GH:III (needs like 1.2 million... not completly impossible... GH2 sold over 500k on the 360 in 08... who knows?)
- GH: WT tracking ahead of 3 so far, I'd give it 25% chance
- Zelda: Wii (TP made it, and this one will be launching on a massive userbase with lot of hype 90% chance)
- SMG 2 (basically for sure it will make 5 mil)
- Mario Party 9 (might not do as well as 8, but 5 mil is not a reach... 60% chance)
- BBA: Wii (25% chance, it does just keep on selling...)
- the conduit (5% chance.... but that is a chance right!! lol... only way this happens is if it REALLY catches on)
- DQ10 (3.5 million or so in Japan is a lock, Nintendo is going to market it to the west fot SE, if they suceed. 5 mil for sure)
- Link's Crossbow Training (it is bundled, well see. If FPS games catch on it will move a bit better)
- Carnivore Games (lol, I meant to do that, 2.2 mil away, I hope not, but 50/50 chance...)
- KH3 (the PS2 one sold 5 mil, and Wii + Disney + Actual Quality = $$$$$)
- 12-15 leaving room for future unancounce Wii series games.... lol
OKAY! You get the idea, even if 1/3 of these titles make it the Wii is bound to smash this PS2 record to bits.
Just for reference here is the PS2 5 million seller (by VGC data of course)
- GTA:SA
- GTA:VC
- GTA3
- GT3
- GT4
- FFX
- KH
- NFS: Underground
- NFS: Underground 2
- FFXII
- FFX-2
- MGS2
to be fair, crash: wrath of cortex did sell 4.97... lol....
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut









