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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the Wii have 50% market share by the end of 2009?

The Ghost of RubangB on 23 December 2008

I still think it could happen by the end of this year, and if it misses that it will easily do it in January. It will be well above 50% by next Christmas.



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tombi123 on 23 December 2008
megaman79 said:
59% by end of 09

 

Unlikely, very unlikely. The max I see is 53%



zleep on 23 December 2008

Pricecut won't matter as much as you imply. Also, the Wii will have a full year where it will have 2.4 million/month and they could ramp up production if they feel like it.

Remember Wii hasn't seen a pricecut either. Wii will have at least 55% marketshare by the end of 09, I dont believe HD console sales will jump dramatically as you expect, there's nothing that points to it. Even worse with the economic crisis.



11ht11 on 23 December 2008

apparently people think the wii isnt competing with the 360 and ps3

so that means the wii is at 100% market share!



TWRoO on 23 December 2008

I predict it will be just over 53% by the end of 2009.



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tombi123 on 23 December 2008
zleep said:
Pricecut won't matter as much as you imply. Also, the Wii will have a full year where it will have 2.4 million/month and they could ramp up production if they feel like it.

Remember Wii hasn't seen a pricecut either. Wii will have at least 55% marketshare by the end of 09, I dont believe HD console sales will jump dramatically as you expect, there's nothing that points to it. Even worse with the economic crisis.

 

The Wii wont have a price cut next year. What's the point in cutting the price when demand = supply.



bardicverse on 23 December 2008

It is on track full well to take over 50% before the North American winter season ends.

Sony's pretty much hinted at no expected PS3 price cuts for the first half of 09.



Roma on 23 December 2008
tombi123 said:
zleep said:
Pricecut won't matter as much as you imply. Also, the Wii will have a full year where it will have 2.4 million/month and they could ramp up production if they feel like it.

Remember Wii hasn't seen a pricecut either. Wii will have at least 55% marketshare by the end of 09, I dont believe HD console sales will jump dramatically as you expect, there's nothing that points to it. Even worse with the economic crisis.

 

The Wii wont have a price cut next year. What's the point in cutting the price when demand = supply.


I think he means that if demand slows down the Wii will see a price cut, it has that option to increase demand once again if the games fail to do that. But Wii sports resort will see that it doesn’t.

    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(

Arius Dion on 23 December 2008

Most likely be over 50% by that point in time.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

zleep on 23 December 2008

@tombi: You are right, I was just talking in the hypothetical case where Wii starts to die off, which is not gonna happen. If the Wii received a pricecut then HD sales would be even smaller.

But tell me, do you expect a massive YoY growth in console sales next year? Why?
You have PS3 at 15 million and 360 at 13.5 million, Wii at 30 million.

Thats a total of 58 million vs approx 49 million this year. I honestly see no way of how that could be happening considering we will be having a full year with an economic crisis.

Can you explain me how a 9 million growth will be possible? I can only see that happening if Wii supply goes up even more, HD consoles will not see that kind of bump.