QFT, it should sell well but it wont reac 10 mil until more ps3's r sold, which will take time.

I can see it reaching 8~9. Beyond that deppends on what kind of ad campaign we're looking.

I don't think it is possible. The userbase simply isn't there.

THIS^

it will be above 15 million by the time the PS4 is introduced

ppl speaking about installbase should just stfu...of course it wouldnt hit 10million with an installbase of 19million ps3s sold

It will hit between 8-11M sales LTD.

But that really depends on:

1. How much its bundled.
2. How much of the GT5 audience would have been stolen by 1-2 Forza releases (Its only competition)
3. Whether or not GT5P owners upgrade.

Because its the biggest game on the system it will sell accordingly. It will most likely sell a lot because its going to sell a lot, its a momentum thing.

No. I predict 8 million.

I think Grand Turismo 5 will sell more than 10 million. The first week sales of the past games in the series have been very high. I predict that if it can sell 2.8 million first week worldwide. It will sell about 12 million by the end of 2009. However, it depends on when it is released.

I believe GT this gen will hit 4-5 M LTD. This will be the worst gen ever.

 GT had high numbers in the past because of active installed base that plays games and appreciates a fine racer like GT. The PS3 has one of the shittiest installed bases i've ever seen in terms of actual gaming activity. It had to lower my numbers from what I had once thought before.

As I posted in another thread last night:

1. As of the end of 2006, Gears of War had sold a bit over 3 million units on an install base of ~8 million Xbox 360s. That's around a 38% attach ratio.  Other games have managed similarly high attach ratios in the past.

2. By the end of 2009, the ps3 should have around a 30 million install base. For GT5 to sell 10 million, it would only need a 33% attach ratio...assuming it has to sell all 10 million in 2009, which it obviously doesn't.

3. MGS4 is well on it's way to outselling MGS3. Similarly DMC4 (the ps3 version alone) is on it's way to outselling DMC3. Why could GT5 not outsell GT4 as well?

4. GT4 actually sold over 10 million like GT1-3. Our numbers say 9.5 million, but it's likely the game is under tracked. GT4 had shipped 10.18 million as of June 2008, according to Polyphony Digital's website, and it's unlikely that 600k units are still sitting on shelves at this stage. Even for new releases it's unlikely for that many to be sitting on shelves.

In conclusion, it is highly probable that GT5 will sell over 10 million by the end of the generation.