By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii: Past 80 million by end of 2009

Avinash_Tyagi on 13 December 2008

market saturation won't be until well into 2013-2014 at earliest, although it'll probably have its first price drop in 2010-2011



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Around the Network
ilovetogame on 13 December 2008

i'm gonna go with about 75 million to close out '09. it should definitely be between 70 and 75 million.

end of 2010 will be right around 100 million. end of 2012 it'll be the highest selling home console ever. and it'll keep on goiing at least past 150 million in the next couple years after that.



end of '08 predictions: wii - 43 million,  360 - 25 million, ps3 - 20 million

 

Games I've beat recently: Super Mario Galaxy, Knights of the Old Republic, Shadow of the Collossus

 

Proud owner of wii, gamecube, xbox, ps2, dreamcast, n64, snes, genesis, 3DO, nes, atari, intellivision, unisonic tournament 2000, and gameboy

Avinash_Tyagi on 13 December 2008
ilovetogame said:
i'm gonna go with about 75 million to close out '09. it should definitely be between 70 and 75 million.

end of 2010 will be right around 100 million. end of 2012 it'll be the highest selling home console ever. and it'll keep on goiing at least past 150 million in the next couple years after that.

 

 it'll sell much more than 60 million in the next two years



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Sephiroth357 on 13 December 2008
Avinash_Tyagi said:
67 is too low, Wii will be around 45 million at the end of this year, give or take a million or so, meaning that according to your prediction only 22 million will be sold in 2009, waaaay too low.

 

Price does matter.*Arcade*




Avinash_Tyagi on 13 December 2008
Sephiroth357 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
67 is too low, Wii will be around 45 million at the end of this year, give or take a million or so, meaning that according to your prediction only 22 million will be sold in 2009, waaaay too low.

 

Price does matter.*Arcade*

 

 only when products lack strong horizontal differentiation, likethe PS3 and 360, Wii however has high product differentiation



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Around the Network
kabhold on 13 December 2008
Avinash_Tyagi said:

market saturation won't be until well into 2013-2014 at earliest, although it'll probably have its first price drop in 2010-2011

Strictly US:

Wii per household is around 1/5 (using dated 2000 US census)



Avinash_Tyagi on 13 December 2008

population is larger since 2000 and Wii will probably not have problems until its at 60% of US housholds at least



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Sephiroth357 on 13 December 2008
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Sephiroth357 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
67 is too low, Wii will be around 45 million at the end of this year, give or take a million or so, meaning that according to your prediction only 22 million will be sold in 2009, waaaay too low.

 

Price does matter.*Arcade*

 

 only when products lack strong horizontal differentiation, likethe PS3 and 360, Wii however has high product differentiation

No price always plays a factor.

 




Avinash_Tyagi on 13 December 2008
Sephiroth357 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Sephiroth357 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
67 is too low, Wii will be around 45 million at the end of this year, give or take a million or so, meaning that according to your prediction only 22 million will be sold in 2009, waaaay too low.

 

Price does matter.*Arcade*

 

 only when products lack strong horizontal differentiation, likethe PS3 and 360, Wii however has high product differentiation

No price always plays a factor.

 

 

 No not as much, you see in a way, Nintendo has created a monopoly product, due to its high difference, a 360 isn't a Wii nor is a PS3, most games are different, as a result you can't just substitute one for the other, so it makes price less of a factor in buying a Wii.  When people want a Wii a 360 or a PS3 just won't do, unlike a PS3 which can be replaced pretty well by a 360



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Sephiroth357 on 13 December 2008
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Sephiroth357 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Sephiroth357 said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
67 is too low, Wii will be around 45 million at the end of this year, give or take a million or so, meaning that according to your prediction only 22 million will be sold in 2009, waaaay too low.

 

Price does matter.*Arcade*

 

 only when products lack strong horizontal differentiation, likethe PS3 and 360, Wii however has high product differentiation

No price always plays a factor.

 

 

 No not as much, you see in a way, Nintendo has created a monopoly product, due to its high difference, a 360 isn't a Wii nor is a PS3, most games are different, as a result you can't just substitute one for the other, so it makes price less of a factor in buying a Wii.  When people want a Wii a 360 or a PS3 just won't do, unlike a PS3 which can be replaced pretty well by a 360
The world is at its best. So Price obviously won't matter as much.