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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - How long until WiiFit outsells other popular games.

Oyvoyvoyv on 08 December 2008
tuoyo said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
tuoyo said:
c0rd said:

It's hilarious how you threw the PS3 in with all those games. It's probably obvious, but I'll point out that consoles don't exactly follow the same sales pattern that games do. I wouldn't call it impossible for Wii Fit to overtake it, but it sounds unlikely.

 

I think it is definitely impossible.  Unless PS3 never sees another price drop and even then I doubt it could even remotely be possible.

 

That doesn't make sense. Do you mean it is definately possible?

 

I think that Wii Fit has a change of passing Ps3, but I do not think it will stay ahead for the end of the generation.

What I do doubt though, is that Wii Fit can pass Ps3 if it doesn't do so in 2009 or first half of 2010.

Still, if we say that the gap ends at 5.2M (optimistic), this would mean Wii Fit would have to outsell Ps3 by 100K weekly to beat Ps3.

As we can safely say that the Ps3 will sell at least 12M, and possibly as high as 14M, this means it will sell ~ 200K weekly excluding December.

Can Wii Fit keep 300K weekly through all of the first 45 weeks of 2009? For the last 17 weeks, it has sold 299K weekly, so judging by that, it has a chance.

On the other hand, this means that Wii Fit would need to get close to 50% AR (well, more ala 45%). No non-bundled game has had that 1 year after the release of the game, and I don't think any game that wasn't released in the 1st year of the console ever has.

It just seems to incredible.

 

I'm going to say that Wii Fit will pass everything there but Ps3.

 

No I mean definitely impossible.  I expect PS3 to sell 40m at the very least.  I don't see how Wii Fit could possibly keep up with that.

 

Ahh! My mistake. I read it:

I think it is definitely impossible.  Unless PS3 sees another price drop and even then I doubt it could even remotely be possible.

Whereas you wrote

I think it is definitely impossible.  Unless PS3 never sees another price drop and even then I doubt it could even remotely be possible.

 



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

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JHawkNH on 08 December 2008

I have the final grids ready and will update the new 'style' when the new data comes out this week. I will add a grid for all software (that VGCartz tracks) that is currently above WiiFit.

Of interest this week is that I give WiiFit a 50/50 chance of passing Super Mario 64 (N64) depending on stock. And will almost certainly pass Grand Theft Auto III (PS2).

SM64 - 11.89 M
GTA3 - 11.60 M
WiiFit - 11.36 M



astrosmash on 08 December 2008
tuoyo said:

 

 

No I mean definitely impossible.  I expect PS3 to sell 40m at the very least.  I don't see how Wii Fit could possibly keep up with that. 

 

I'm not sure what the point is of making definative statements about future WiiFit sales. Considering it has been constantly sold out, how can we possibly know where its going? I don't have any idea how many potential buyers there might be for it, if you do I would love to know how.

 

 



Killergran on 13 December 2008

Well, it didn't outsell Super Mario 64, but it knocked down GTA 3.



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JHawkNH on 16 December 2008

Sorry the new numbers are late.  I have been down with the flu all weekend.  I will update the numbers later tonight.



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noname2200 on 16 December 2008
c0rd said:
JHawkNH said:
c0rd said:

 

There have been games with monstrous legs before, let's see...

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Wii+Fit+-+Wii&reg2=Japan&game2=Pokemon+Red+%2F+Green+%2F+Blue+-+GB&reg3=America&game3=Wii+Fit+-+Wii&weeks=110&weekly=1

Notice how Pokemon finally slows down after week 100? Yeah, take that!
... Okay, maybe it doesn't help my argument much. I honestly don't know what to think of it. I blame Wii Fit.

Seriously though, for Sony fanboys' sake, let the PS3 float above Wii Fit! They've suffered enough!

I see what you're saying (and I agree), but Wii Fit's sale pattern really does appear to be unique. In the U.S., at least (and I suspect elsewhere, though I haven't checked) its sales haven't just been "steady" over that time period, they've been increasing. That's right, save for the month after it released its sold more each month than the previous month.

That's scary...

 



JHawkNH on 16 December 2008

I put the current data in the first post and archive last weeks data in the last current post

Data for 11/28/08

Raw data:

  Total Sales
Item Current 1 Week ago 4 Week ago 12 week ago
WiiFit 11,357,296 10,741,634 9,660,727 7,377,549
PS3 17,568,481 17,165,840 16,515,622 15,306,340
WiiPlay 16,995,675 16,608,783 15,960,983 14,694,133
NSMB 16,512,984 16,207,785 15,994,933 15,556,943
Mario Kart (DS) 12,630,930 12,477,905 12,256,056 11,793,798
Nintendogs (DS) 20,389,772 20,195,091 19,899,334 19,481,045
Brain Training (DS) 15,040,378 14,736,152 14,459,346 14,044,376
More Brain Training (DS) 12,710,145 12,546,302 12,323,992 11,982,384
Pokemon D/P 16,498,895 16,333,567 16,130,540 15,776,088

  Per Week Avg
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
WiiFit 615,662 424,142.25 331,645.58
PS3 402,641 263,214.75 188,511.75
WiiPlay 386,892 258,673.00 191,795.17
NSMB 305,199 129,512.75 79,670.08
Mario Kart (DS) 153,025 93,718.50 69,761.00
Nintendogs (DS) 194,681 122,609.50 75,727.25
Brain Training (DS) 304,226 145,258.00 83,000.17
More Brain Training (DS) 163,843 96,538.25 60,646.75
Pokemon D/P 165,328 92,088.75 60,233.92

Expected to outsell in weeks:

  Number of weeks to pass based on:
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
PS3 29.2 38.6 43.4
WiiPlay 24.6 34.1 40.3
NSMB 16.6 17.5 20.5
Mario Kart (DS) 2.8 3.9 4.9
Nintendogs (DS) 21.5 30.0 35.3
Brain Training (DS) 11.8 13.2 14.8
More Brain Training (DS) 3.0 4.1 5.0
Pokemon D/P 11.4 15.5 18.9

Dates used:

Current 1 Week 4 Week 12 week
11/28/2008 11/21/2008 10/31/2008 9/5/2008


theRepublic on 16 December 2008

Nice update. Keep it coming.



Switch Code: SW-7377-9189-3397 -- Nintendo Network ID: theRepublic -- Steam ID: theRepublic

Now Playing
Switch - Super Mario Maker 2 (2019)
Switch - The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (2019)
Switch - Bastion (2011/2018)
3DS - Star Fox 64 3D (2011)
3DS - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (Trilogy) (2005/2014)
Wii U - Darksiders: Warmastered Edition (2010/2017)
Mobile - The Simpson's Tapped Out and Yugioh Duel Links
PC - Deep Rock Galactic (2020)

JHawkNH on 22 December 2008

Here is the data for 12/05/08

Raw data:

  Total Sales
Item Current 1 Week ago 4 Week ago 12 week ago
WiiFit 11,828,197 11,319,528 9,985,915 7,603,389
PS3 17,879,246 17,531,722 16,701,991 15,436,872
WiiPlay 17,750,786 17,309,392 16,180,290 14,838,311
NSMB 16,811,873 16,553,020 16,059,413 15,620,427
Mario Kart (DS) 12,884,687 12,727,509 12,341,784 11,858,523
Nintendogs (DS) 20,604,316 20,414,532 19,993,725 19,536,574
Brain Training (DS) 15,340,551 15,064,174 14,528,426 14,099,303
More Brain Training (DS) 12,855,046 12,709,376 12,386,423 12,032,265
Pokemon D/P 16,619,461 16,489,197 16,187,008 15,824,941
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 17,491,399 17,468,885 17,421,638 17,321,112

  Per Week Avg
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
WiiFit 508,669 460,570.50 352,067.33
PS3 347,524 294,313.75 203,531.17
WiiPlay 441,394 392,624.00 242,706.25
NSMB 258,853 188,115.00 99,287.17
Mario Kart (DS) 157,178 135,725.75 85,513.67
Nintendogs (DS) 189,784 152,647.75 88,978.50
Brain Training (DS) 276,377 203,031.25 103,437.33
More Brain Training (DS) 145,670 117,155.75 68,565.08
Pokemon D/P 130,264 108,113.25 66,210.00
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 22,514 17,440.25 14,190.58

Expected to outsell in weeks:

 

    Number of weeks to pass based on:
Item Totals 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Super Mario Bros. (NES) 40,245,000 55.9 61.7 80.7
Pokemon R/G/B (GB) 31,385,000 38.4 42.5 55.5
Tetris (GB) 30,265,000 36.2 40.0 52.4
Duck Hunt (NES) 28,315,000 32.4 35.8 46.8
Pokemon Gold / Silver (GB) 23,115,000 22.2 24.5 32.1
Super Mario World (SNES) 20,615,000 17.3 19.1 25.0
Super Mario Land (GB) 18,145,000 12.4 13.7 17.9
Super Mario Bros 3 (NES) 17,285,000 10.7 11.8 15.5
The Sims (PC) 16,085,000 8.4 9.2 12.1
Pokemon Ruby / Sapphire (GBA) 15,405,000 7.0 7.8 10.2
Gran Turismo 3 A-Spec (PS2) 14,875,000 6.0 6.6 8.7
Pokemon Yellow (GB) 14,645,000 5.5 6.1 8.0
Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (PS2) 14,205,000 4.7 5.2 6.8
Super Mario 64 (N64) 11,895,000 0.1 0.1 0.2
Grand Theft Auto III (PS2) 11,605,000 -0.4 -0.5 -0.6

Dates used:

Current 1 Week 4 Week 12 week
12/5/2008 11/28/2008 11/7/2008 9/12/2008

As you can see Grand Theft Auto III (PS2) was passed this week

Data for 12/12/2008 can be found in the first post.

  Number of weeks to pass based on:
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
PS3 37.6 36.4 40.7
WiiPlay 88.0 87.2 54.2
NSMB 19.9 18.3 19.7
Mario Kart (DS) 3.0 3.3 4.0
Nintendogs (DS) 27.5 28.5 33.4
Brain Training (DS) 15.1 13.6 14.1
More Brain Training (DS) 2.8 3.0 3.6
Pokemon D/P 12.7 13.6 16.8
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 11.6 12.8 16.8

Non charting titles:



theRepublic on 22 December 2008

Mario 64 should be passed next week. After that, it will be a couple of weeks before passing anything else.



Switch Code: SW-7377-9189-3397 -- Nintendo Network ID: theRepublic -- Steam ID: theRepublic

Now Playing
Switch - Super Mario Maker 2 (2019)
Switch - The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (2019)
Switch - Bastion (2011/2018)
3DS - Star Fox 64 3D (2011)
3DS - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (Trilogy) (2005/2014)
Wii U - Darksiders: Warmastered Edition (2010/2017)
Mobile - The Simpson's Tapped Out and Yugioh Duel Links
PC - Deep Rock Galactic (2020)