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Forums - Nintendo - How long until WiiFit outsells other popular games.

famousringo on 27 February 2009

It's especially scary how this game is catching up to Wii Play. We're talking about a game which is effectively priced at $10, has been out since the launch of the Wii and has maintained an attach rate of almost 50%. And here comes the $90 Wii Fit to crush it around the end of this year.

Sick.



"The worst part about these reviews is they are [subjective]--and their scores often depend on how drunk you got the media at a Street Fighter event."  — Mona Hamilton, Capcom Senior VP of Marketing
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irstupid on 27 February 2009
peanut1972 said:
I say it will pass the PS3 this year. Are you going by price or units?

 

oh man i could not imagine the hate if/when wiifit passes the ps3.  Its hard not to say when by looking at the data and how it is progressing.  it is making up so much ground every week



peanut1972 on 28 February 2009
irstupid said:
peanut1972 said:
I say it will pass the PS3 this year. Are you going by price or units?

 

oh man i could not imagine the hate if/when wiifit passes the ps3.  Its hard not to say when by looking at the data and how it is progressing.  it is making up so much ground every week

The haters have to acknowledge they are niche gamers now, and that makes me laugh.

 



JHawkNH on 02 March 2009
peanut1972 said:
Are you going by price or units?

 

 Units.  The PS3 is about 4.4 times mor expensive then WiiFit.  So WiiFit will never bring in more revenue then the PS3.  But even when the first WiiFit sold, it had already brought in more profit then the LTD profits on the PS3.



JHawkNH on 02 March 2009

Data for 2/20/09

Raw data:

  Total Sales
Item Current 1 Week ago 4 Week ago 12 week ago
WiiFit 16,334,394 16,037,475 14,968,483 11,181,669
PS3 20,616,911 20,459,978 20,026,771 17,506,395
WiiPlay 22,066,289 21,886,655 21,340,977 17,681,052
NSMB 17,991,362 17,937,833 17,764,550 16,088,710
Nintendogs (DS) 21,890,122 21,845,160 21,700,689 20,424,111
Brain Training (DS) 17,084,580 17,035,384 16,859,187 15,004,842
Pokemon D/P 16,638,442 16,608,369 16,515,493 15,708,040
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 17,701,889 17,692,854 17,663,402 17,477,314

  Per Week Avg
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
WiiFit 296,919 341,477.75 429,393.75
PS3 156,933 147,535.00 259,209.67
WiiPlay 179,634 181,328.00 365,436.42
NSMB 53,529 56,703.00 158,554.33
Nintendogs (DS) 44,962 47,358.25 122,167.58
Brain Training (DS) 49,196 56,348.25 173,311.50
Pokemon D/P 30,073 30,737.25 77,533.50
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 9,035 9,621.75 18,714.58

Expected to outsell in weeks:

  Number of weeks to pass based on:
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
PS3 30.6 22.1 25.2
WiiPlay 48.9 35.8 89.6
NSMB 6.8 5.8 6.1
Nintendogs (DS) 22.1 18.9 18.1
Brain Training (DS) 3.0 2.6 2.9
Pokemon D/P 1.1 1.0 0.9
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 4.8 4.1 3.3

Non charting titles:

    Number of weeks to pass based on:
Item Totals 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Super Mario Bros. (NES) 40,245,000 80.5 70.0 55.7
Pokemon R/G/B (GB) 31,385,000 50.7 44.1 35.1
Tetris (GB) 30,265,000 46.9 40.8 32.4
Duck Hunt (NES) 28,315,000 40.3 35.1 27.9
Pokemon Gold / Silver (GB) 23,115,000 22.8 19.9 15.8
Super Mario World (SNES) 20,615,000 14.4 12.5 10.0
Super Mario Land (GB) 18,145,000 6.1 5.3 4.2
Super Mario Bros 3 (NES) 17,285,000 3.2 2.8 2.2
The Sims (PC) 16,085,000 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6

Dates used:

Current 1 Week 4 Week 12 week
2/20/2009 2/13/2009 1/23/2009 11/28/2008

This week WiiFit passes "The Sims" (PC).  That leaves "GTA: San Andreas" (PS2) as the only non Nintendo game that it has not passed.  But even it will fall before the end of March.

Next week WiiFit has a chance of passing "Pokemon D/P" (DS).  It is currently 304K behind and outsold it by 267K this week.  If Supplies get a 40K boost this week, it will outsell it.  If not it will be the first game to fall in March.

In the month of March, WiiFit should pass "Brain Training" (DS), "GTA: San Andreas" (PS2), and "Super Mario Bros 3" (NES).

What WiiFit has passed since the start of this thread: GTA3 (PS2), Super Mario 64 (N64), MarioKart DS (DS), More Brain Training (DS), GTA: Vice City (PS2), Pokemon Yellow (GB), Gran Turismo 3 A-Spec (PS2), Pokemon Ruby / Sapphire (GBA), The Sims (PC)



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BoleroOfFire on 02 March 2009
JHawkNH said:
peanut1972 said:
Are you going by price or units?

 

 Units.  The PS3 is about 4.4 times mor expensive then WiiFit.  So WiiFit will never bring in more revenue then the PS3.  But even when the first WiiFit sold, it had already brought in more profit then the LTD profits on the PS3.

 That was below the belt!

Looks like Pokemon D/P followed by Brain Training will be the next to fall prey.  It's amazing how it's catching up to these games with such phenomenal sales on a console with less than half of the DS's install base.  It'll be even more incredible when it passes GTA which is on a console with almost 3x the install base.  But to pass a current console....  

Great work on this thread.    

 



Proud member of the Mega Mario Movement

 

Warrior of Light

JHawkNH on 10 March 2009

Data for 2/27/09

Raw data:

  Total Sales
Item Current 1 Week ago 4 Week ago 12 week ago
WiiFit 16,596,442 16,338,291 15,394,185 11,775,378
PS3 20,809,951 20,610,223 20,179,717 17,859,241
WiiPlay 22,213,477 22,064,278 21,531,302 18,170,409
NSMB 18,037,458 17,990,150 17,825,001 16,299,708
Nintendogs (DS) 21,911,345 21,873,722 21,747,360 20,609,783
Brain Training (DS) 17,131,098 17,083,439 16,925,222 15,276,115
Pokemon D/P 16,665,732 16,638,442 16,548,829 15,808,465
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 17,710,291 17,701,889 17,674,042 17,500,965

  Per Week Avg
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
WiiFit 258,151 300,564.25 401,755.33
PS3 199,728 157,558.50 245,892.50
WiiPlay 149,199 170,543.75 336,922.33
NSMB 47,308 53,114.25 144,812.50
Nintendogs (DS) 37,623 40,996.25 108,463.50
Brain Training (DS) 47,659 51,469.00 154,581.92
Pokemon D/P 27,290 29,225.75 71,438.92
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 8,402 9,062.25 17,443.83

Expected to outsell in weeks:

  Number of weeks to pass based on:
Item 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
PS3 72.1 29.5 27.0
WiiPlay 51.6 43.2 86.6
NSMB 6.8 5.8 5.6
Nintendogs (DS) 24.1 20.5 18.1
Brain Training (DS) 2.5 2.1 2.2
Pokemon D/P 0.3 0.3 0.2
GTA: San Andreas (PS2) 4.5 3.8 2.9

Non charting titles:

    Number of weeks to pass based on:
Item Totals 1 Week Avg 4 Week Avg 12 Week Avg
Super Mario Bros. (NES) 40,245,000 91.6 78.7 58.9
Pokemon R/G/B (GB) 31,385,000 57.3 49.2 36.8
Tetris (GB) 30,265,000 52.9 45.5 34.0
Duck Hunt (NES) 28,315,000 45.4 39.0 29.2
Pokemon Gold / Silver (GB) 23,115,000 25.3 21.7 16.2
Super Mario World (SNES) 20,615,000 15.6 13.4 10.0
Super Mario Land (GB) 18,145,000 6.0 5.2 3.9
Super Mario Bros 3 (NES) 17,285,000 2.7 2.3 1.7

Dates used:

Current 1 Week 4 Week 12 week
2/27/2009 2/20/2009 1/30/2009 12/5/2008

Next week WiiFit will pass "Pokemon D/P" (DS). 

In the month of March, WiiFit should pass "Brain Training" (DS), "GTA: San Andreas" (PS2), and "Super Mario Bros 3" (NES).

What WiiFit has passed since the start of this thread: GTA3 (PS2), Super Mario 64 (N64), MarioKart DS (DS), More Brain Training (DS), GTA: Vice City (PS2), Pokemon Yellow (GB), Gran Turismo 3 A-Spec (PS2), Pokemon Ruby / Sapphire (GBA), The Sims (PC)



N.Genckel on 10 March 2009

Nice thread. WiiFit is a monster.



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amp316 on 10 March 2009

But Wii Fit is not competing with Sony.



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"There are like ten games a year that sell over a million units."  High Voltage CEO -  Eric Nofsinger

justinian on 10 March 2009

^^No. I can however imagine Nintendo bosses having a bet among themselves whilst having a good giggle.