At this point it is at 48.3% It will only go up from thei for now, but do you really think it still has a chance to reach 50%

Does anyone have any math to show how it can do it?

Not a chance.... not unless the 360 falls to PS3 sales levels.

And even then, with only 5 weeks left it would be a close race. (say PS3 sells another 2.5 million, and 360 the same.... that would put the HD twins total to almost 47 million, which is a figure I don't think the Wii can quite manage)

As it is though, it has no chance, because if PS3 sells a further 2.5 million, 360 will sell another 4, which puts the PS360 total to almost 48.5 million.

It was always very unlikely it would reach it in 08. The people who thought it would were mostly making math errors (such as assuming the percentage increase per week would remain constant with the same sales level).

February 2009.

i don't think so in 08...it will most likely in 2009, but depends on how well 360 continues to sell and when/if the PS3 gets a price cut

Unless the 360 kills it's self then no. I will say mid Feb it will...

No. But It should be very close. around 49,5%

No way. The Wii only made a gain of 160K over its competitors even in Black Friday. That should answer your question.

It will never happen. A better question is what date the Wii will drop to the 30s in % market share. I will say by the end of 2010 at the latest. A new home console debut would increase the likelihood of this happening of course.

How many units do you think the Wii will have sold by then (end of 2010) worldwide?

It won't break 49%