The biggest short positions of the Yen are held by the Japanese. I agree that the floor is 110, but the fact that the yen is near the floor makes the trade great. What better deal than to short the yen, buy Tbills, and let the Japanese central bank stop the dollar from dropping any further? If I recall correctly Nintendo used a Y115/$1 exchange rate in its yearly earnings projection. For so long as the trade imbalance endures, the Japanese central bank will manage the yen to dollar conversion rate or face mass unemployment. I wonder how long until consumers in India and China make consumers in the USA ir·rel·e·vant?
The urge to play is a terrible thing to waste.







