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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ten Week Countdown 2008!

I'm going on the basis that the Wii will only have 1 week in the 2 million range. Maybe even none. But I think Nintendo is really going to push Wii's out for the 9th week to say they crushed the competition on the days close to Christmas.



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Zucas said:
Hmm yes good point. But its doubtful as some have put it that week 9 will see better sales than week 8.

 I agree with this.

But doesn't Nintendo always deliver to the U.S every 2nd week? If so, can't we find out which week that is?

If it is the 8th week, that is going to be huge, and probably bigger than 9th, if it is the 9th, 8th is going to be smaller, and 9th bigger.



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Oyvoyvoyv said:
Zucas said:
Hmm yes good point. But its doubtful as some have put it that week 9 will see better sales than week 8.

 I agree with this.

But doesn't Nintendo always deliver to the U.S every 2nd week? If so, can't we find out which week that is?

If it is the 8th week, that is going to be huge, and probably bigger than 9th, if it is the 9th, 8th is going to be smaller, and 9th bigger.

I don't think it will follow the same pattern at Christmas.... what if one of the off-weeks coincides with Black Friday week?

They will ship them probably mid-week for BF week, but for that last weekend I suspect a huge number will be shipped in time for Friday or Saturday, so it depends on whether that huge number will mostly sell on the Saturday (inc in week 8) or on the Sunday and the days following it (week 9)

As you can see from the graph I posted, week 8 sales should exceed week 9 slightly for the lower, well supplied consoles, but i don't know what the situation was with PS2 that year, and whether the Wii will reflect it's path.

 



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TWRoO said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
Zucas said:
Hmm yes good point. But its doubtful as some have put it that week 9 will see better sales than week 8.

I agree with this.

But doesn't Nintendo always deliver to the U.S every 2nd week? If so, can't we find out which week that is?

If it is the 8th week, that is going to be huge, and probably bigger than 9th, if it is the 9th, 8th is going to be smaller, and 9th bigger.

I don't think it will follow the same pattern at Christmas.... what if one of the off-weeks coincides with Black Friday week?

They will ship them probably mid-week for BF week, but for that last weekend I suspect a huge number will be shipped in time for Friday or Saturday, so it depends on whether that huge number will mostly sell on the Saturday (inc in week 8) or on the Sunday and the days following it (week 9)

As you can see from the graph I posted, week 8 sales should exceed week 9 slightly for the lower, well supplied consoles, but i don't know what the situation was with PS2 that year, and whether the Wii will reflect it's path.

 

Oh it's never the same during the holidays.  Nintendo may do 3 to 4 shipments a week during the holidays.  No way can they deliver a million units in one shipping haha. 

And Week 8 should be stronger than Week 9 because Week 8 is going to have a full 7 days of powerhouse selling while although a few of the days in Week 9 might be even stronger it'll still have a few days that aren't as strong including one that won't even have sales, Christmas Day outside of Japan of course.

 



^I added your prediction in Zucas.

Gonna have to either make 2 tables per console, or change the format when Shams an Nordlead add predictions.



Alright thx for adding me. Seems like I'm the odd duck in a lot of the predictions haha.



I would like to add that The Last Remnant might do something for 360 in WE Nov 22. There is a bundle in Japan as well.

Also, although I might get laughed at for mentioning this, but who knows what Lips will do for reaching into a new demographic for the 360, also WE Nov 22.

Prince of Persia will be out by WE Dec 6, which may do something.

Mirrors Edge is a dark horse that might do something with CODWaW on WE Nov 15.



EaglesEye379 said:
I would like to add that The Last Remnant might do something for 360 in WE Nov 22. There is a bundle in Japan as well.

Also, although I might get laughed at for mentioning this, but who knows what Lips will do for reaching into a new demographic for the 360, also WE Nov 22.

Prince of Persia will be out by WE Dec 6, which may do something.

Mirrors Edge is a dark horse that might do something with CODWaW on WE Nov 15.

 

yes that might need to be added but for me any real increases for 360 in Japan in my predictions is really useless.  Considering I used 25k intervals it would really make any up in sales for 360 in Japan useless when going for this considering I and most aren't going for 100% accuracy.  Really I did most of my 360 predictions not thinking about Japan even with all the recent bumps cause it really doesn't make much a difference on my final outcome.

But it is worth noting I suppose.