Rasmussen is really conservative. I prefer Gallup and Intrade. Bettors won't lie!

@ Kottieboon: Well, back in the day, the U.S. was two countries. Some clowns in the Southern part, the l00sers, actually have Confederate money in case the South rises again.

@ Akuma - you and me both, bro

@ Ghost - she met with world leaders today - but the press was immediately booted. She isn't doing fundraisers because McSame wants her at rallies with him. Sure, she'd raise loot, but he is more worried about her slipping and prepping her for the gimped VP debate. But ... it's all fun and games until someone is shot.

Check this column out, via the Anchorage Daily News -

On Troopergate: Here's why this is all so damaging to the governor. It's one thing to try to get a trooper fired because you believe he is a danger to the public. But using your considerable power as governor to block the benefits of a former family member you have a long-running dispute with moves this scandal into a new realm.

It becomes about one thing and one thing only, revenge. Not public good, but settling a score.

Mad Skillz's take: What I find interesting about this cat's editorial is - this could take her down. Think about Capone - killing folks like he was Mr. Kool-Aid himself, Jim Jones, and a tax evasion charge is what got that fool arrested. Messing with someone's benefits will land you in jail. And this could land her out of a job, off the GOP ticket and into Wooten's backseat of his cruiser.

Source: http://www.adn.com/opinion/story/532372.html

What a difference a 3 days makes.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Sep19.html

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Sep22.html

Obama 282   McCain 236   Ties 20

I have no idea why no one is using today's map.

Because today is on the front page of the site, so if you link to it, your point will be lost to people looking at it tomorrow.

Electoral-vote jumps around a little too quickly in both directions. Obama does have a lead, but it isn't as large as electoral-vote.com would have you believe.

From fivethirtyeight.com

Looking extremely good for Obama at this moment. It's shaping up to look like the 1996 race between Clinton and Dole. That seems somewhat appropriate.

I was talking to my mailman yesterday and he told me he's voting for Obama because he doesn't want to relive the last eight years... and then he mentioned that he lost 20k from his 401k in a couple weeks. He was set to retire next year. People losing money from their IRA accounts or 401k's are looking hard at the economy and looking for answers. They're looking for leadership and a way to get out this mess so they can get on with their lives and not have to deal with a nation-wide, or even world-wide, depression.

I'll make a prediction right here: if the DOW is below 10,000 on election day Obama will win with over 300 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote, give or take .5%. If the DOW is above 14,500 on election day McCain wins, 274 to 269. I'm not going to factor in the debates, terrorist attacks, the capture of Osama bin Laden, I don't think any of that is going to matter. It's still about the economy stupid.

NH went red in 2000 as well.  And in 2004 it was 51-49 Kerry.  Not exactly a bastion of blue support.  I've actually heard that there is a movement for people to move to that state to affect its political viewpoint.  Evidently the population is small enough and the scales are balanced enough that even slight population shifts can affect great change.

It's defineietly a state to watch in the next few Presidential elections.

You described the situation pretty well. Still, I'm going to be surprised if any of the Kerry states flip.

Colorado is looking pretty blue these days. New Hampshire could still go red, but it is about as likely that Nevada will go blue.