I was only talking about the attach rate of this one game, scottie.  In otherwords, the 1.2% represents percentage of American Wii owners who now have All-Play, while 7.5% of PS3 owners have their respective version.

I know the Wii's attach rate over all is higher..

The Wii is crushing the PS3 for almost all shared third party games they have. Look at Guitar Hero 3, for example. The Wii costs less to develop for and brings in more money for devs than the PS3 does.

At the end of 07 (dec 29th) the wii version had around 360k while the ps3 version had 675k. As it stands right now the ps3 version had 850k while the wii version has 790k. The wii version has sold 490k in 08 while the ps3 version sold 115k, that's the kind of legs that this game has. The wii version of madden 08 is STILL selling around 7k a week even after the release of madden 09.

The wii version of madden has increased by a higher percentage than the ps3 version, naturally though as the years go on it will get more front loaded (relatively) because the percentage of new owners to existing owners changes. That's why you can't just say that because 08 had 70k first week and 09 has 140k that 09 will end up at 1.6 million. I'm expecting 1.1-1.3 million for both the wii and ps3 version. It's gonna be close.

 I recognize that percentage change, and that's why i didn't base my prediction on attach rates.  My initial prediction was really admittedly just a guesstimate actually, but looking at the legs of each title relative to its initial front end, it looking like it should be a pretty solid guess based on trends alone.

I think Wii version will outsell PS3 this year, with X360 being ahead but not by as much as last year. Wii will have stable sales for whole year, when PS3 will loose legs quite quickly, plus Wii has some alternatives to offer with all-play and call your shot which will also have impact.

wait didnt the ps3 version sell more then the wii version or am i missing something?

@Dno, at launch yes, but over time the Wii version will sell better.

 Of course it would. It has twice as much owners, what would you expect. Now take a look at percentage of wii owners that bought serious multipalt games  and the same for ps3. Than you can see if the wii game is really doing well, or if it´s only because of it´s big base. In madden 09 case, it will be ´cause of the big base, if it passes ps3.

 o ok well that remains to be seen so far ps3>>>>>>>>>wii