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Forums - Sales - Leo-J: 'ps3-19-23mllion(will not go below 120k WW any week in 08)'

Lone_Canis_Lupus on 31 July 2008
ZenfoldorVGI said:
mitsuhide said:
Well isn't the 118k it hit within the 10% difference, so technically he wasn't wrong because it might be over 120k and plus there is supply problems in the US due to the fazing out of the old model.

Leo-J based his prediction on numbers directly related to this site. It was implied that the numbers were absolute when he predicted them. The whole "margin for error" thing doesn't work on a prediction, only on a comparison, of non absolutes.

The supply problem, while completely true, is damage control and marginalization. The Wii is supply constrained every week.

 

 

So going by absolutes justifies "ZOMG!! He was completely WRONG!! What a loser!! HAHAHAHAHA!"? The prediction is well within the margin of error. He wasn't completely off and was fairly close and I think anyone punching him when he's not around is scraping for scraps to get whatever blows they can on Sony fans.



PSN: Lone_Canis_Lupus

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konnichiwa on 31 July 2008
321tttrini4everz said:
wtf ?? i can't believe this..some vgc members are lower than i thought..a thread was actually made just to prove leo wrong and he is currently banned...
why can't a mod lock this thread ????..
this is FUCKING pathetic

 

Well people who like this thread are pathetic.

We have a predicition leaque over here where 100 of members are wrong every week we could start for all of them a thread but Leo-J is a Sony fanboy so people love to pick on them.

Neos made a lot worse stupid predicitions like Holland winning the European Cup but he was not alone their were millions of idiots who thought that.






Smeags on 31 July 2008

The VGChartz forums: Making mountains out of molehills since 2008 (and most likely earlier than that).



3DS Rec Thread ~ Wii U Rec Thread ~ Xbox One Rec Thread

tombi123 on 31 July 2008
tombi123 said:
So he was wrong for one week by less then 2,000 units. It is funny because when he made this prediction everybody was taking the mickey out of him, saying the PS3 wouldn't be able to do it. It is funny because Leo-j actually completely owned everyone who was taking the mickey out of him for making this prediction.

Let me put it this way. Everybody who was mocking Leo-j for making this prediction, wasn't thinking the PS3 wouldn't be able to make 120,000 every week because of supply issues...

 

Quoted because it was at the bottom of the page but everyone needs to read it



trestres on 31 July 2008

Seems he was wrong after all.



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Tbone on 31 July 2008

Does it really matter if he was wrong.



 

Loud_Hot_White_Box on 31 July 2008
ZenfoldorVGI said:
mitsuhide said:
Well isn't the 118k it hit within the 10% difference, so technically he wasn't wrong because it might be over 120k and plus there is supply problems in the US due to the fazing out of the old model.

Leo-J based his prediction on numbers directly related to this site. It was implied that the numbers were absolute when he predicted them. The whole "margin for error" thing doesn't work on a prediction, only on a comparison, of non absolutes.

The supply problem, while completely true, is damage control and marginalization. The Wii is supply constrained every week.

 

 

Still, the "failure" of his prediction will probably be limited to a near-miss in one or two weeks, WITH the mitigating factor of supply constraint.  Jumping on the "failure" triumphantly is fanboyism.

Witness this thread nearing 160 posts.  Bullshit, guys.



mitsuhide on 31 July 2008

I hope he is reading this thread as a guest :)

He was off by less than 2000 units, seriously this is ridiculous if John Lucas got his 60million Wii's sold by the end of 08 prediction wrong then i bet not this many people would pick on him!



End of 2014 Hardware Predictions (03/03/14)

PlayStation 4: 12-15million

Xbox One: 7-10 million

Wii U: 8-9 million (Changed 01/04/2014 from 7-9 --> 8-9 million)

RockSmith372 on 31 July 2008

YAY! his prediction failed!!!



colonelstubbs on 31 July 2008

As i said earlier in the thread, hes just a kid who made a guess at sales. Its not like hes a media analyst, so at the end of the day if he got it wrong, so what?

Im sure at the end of the year many people will have made inaccurate predictions



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