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Forums - Sales - Which console will have the most million sellers?

dolemit3 on 26 June 2008
CrazzyMan said:
PS3 will have over 40 mln. seller by the end of this year.. so? =)

Overall by the end of 2008:

1 Grand Theft Auto IV
2 Motorstorm
3 Call of Duty 4
4 Resistance: Fall of Man
5 Assassins Creed
6 Gran Turismo 5 Prologue
7 Uncharted: Drakes Fortune
8 Metal Gear Solid 4
9 Pro Evolution Soccer 2008
10 FIFA 08
11 Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock
12 Need for Speed: ProStreet
13 Devil May Cry 4
14 Ratchet & Clank Future:
15 Heavenly Sword

In next 28 weeks(with Christmas Boost):

16 WWE Smackdown vs Raw 2008 0.95m (14k per week)
17 Madden NFL 08 0.85m (3k per week)
18 Need for Speed: Carbon 0.78m (3k per week)
19 Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion 0.73m (5k per week)
20 Burnout Paradise 0.70m (15k per week)
21 Kane & Lynch: Dead Men 0.69m (5k per week)
22 Army of Two 0.65m (11k per week)
23 Rock Band 0.65m (17k per week + no europe yet)
24 Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six: Vegas 2 0.65m (15k per week)
25 Hot Shots Golf: Out of Bounds 0.60m (3k + no europe yet)
26 Lego Star Wars: The Complete Saga 0.50m (6k per week)
27 Unreal Tournament III 0.49m (8k per week)
28 Warhawk 0.42m (no online sales)
29 Singstar PS3 0.42m (+19k per week)
30 Turok 0.42m (6k per week)

And add:
LBP, R2, M:PR + CoD5 and other multiplatform games. =]

That's 34 titles, where are the other 6?

 



Currently playing on PS3: God of War III

Currently playing on Xbox360: Final Fantasy XIII

Currently playing on NDS: Chrono Trigger

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Erik Aston on 27 June 2008
Ail said:
fkusumot said:
The Ghost of RubangB said:
360 had 41 million sellers in 31 months.
Wii had 25 million sellers in 19 months.

Overall 360 has had 1.3225806451612903225806451612903 million sellers per month.

Overall Wii has had 1.3157894736842105263157894736842 million sellers per month.

This gives the 360 a microscopic lead.

However, this is because the 360 had a larger userbase for 21 of its months and a smaller userbase for the last 10 months.

The fact that they are both churning out the same number of million sellers per month on average at this point means 360's only advantage was its head start. The Wii is gobbling up software market share faster than all hell, and it will have way more million sellers by the end of this generation. It'll be like the DS or PS2.

Hard to argue with those numbers.

Actually it's quite easy.

The 360 has a lead of 16 and the Wii isn't closing it based on those numbers so those numbers don't argue in favor of the Wii passing the 360...........

 

The Wii will have more 5 millions+ sellers but the 360 will win for million sellers...

 

 

Uh, the implications is that the numbers aren't static and that Wii's rate should pick up as the install base increases very quickly.

Basically, 360 is at 1.3/month because its been out longer and so each owner, on average, has bought more games. Wii is at 1.3/month because it has more owners. Guess which will take precedence over time?



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

Commando on 27 June 2008

I think it will be the Wii mostly because of the larger user base. With the hardware still selling out everywhere new game buyers are coming in every week, which gives its software incredibly long legs. I think it may be behind X360 now, but more titles that are near the million threshold have a good chance to surpass it in the coming year. I don't think its gonna be a wide margin though. X360 will probably only be a few titles behind.



"Let justice be done though the heavens fall." - Jim Garrison

"Ask not your horse, if ye should ride into battle" - myself

Kurakasa on 27 June 2008

Could be the wii, due to all the shovelware what sells on wii.



mesoteto on 27 June 2008
Esmoreit said:
mesoteto said:
Esmoreit said:
I think that it will be a close call between the X360 and Wii. The X360 will come out on top though. The userbase of the wii will be gynormous but the games will be diversive, and the amount massive. There will be a lot of spread on the Wii which will make it the most profitable and most liked to develop for, but the 360 will have the most concentrated bunch.
Most of MS' titles are multi-plat with the PS3 though but as we have seen with GTA4, the X360 will most likely come out on top.

 

that makes no sense, if teh 360 has a small bunch what you will see is a few games hiting 5-6 mil not a lot of games getting above a mil

 

where as by your own reasoning the wii will have alot hit 1-2 mil and not very many hiting more 3 mil....so the wii will still end up with more million sellers

 

I never mentioned any numbers did I? My guess is that a lot of Wii titles will get around the 500K which is still pretty awesome. NMH, Boom Blox, those are the type of titles I'm talking about. In the future you will most likely see the same effect to the conduit and the force unleashed. To much to chose! And NMH and Boom Blox are published in times where Wii-support is/was pretty slim. The amount of games/support will only grow and thus spread the salesnumbers across titles. Totals, I think will remain below 1 million.

For instance, I currently would like for my wii MKwii, Okami and Zack&Wicky. And just today I bought SSBB (I'm in Europe) so my next purchase will be a long way down the road. If I have to diversify now, what will happen in the future? I doubt I'll be alone in this.

(PS I'm a nintendo fan I would like to see them win but I give the X360 the edge here)

 

but your still missing the critical point and that is as the wii auidence grows the market for buying games will grow that coupled with teh dozens of first party games will spell win for the wii with a l



 

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mesoteto on 27 June 2008

@kura



ohh sorry she gets excited when ever she is around a boy troll



 

Cremator on 27 June 2008

The only sure thing is that PS3 will be dead last. At least we don't have to argue about that.



De85 on 27 June 2008
dtewi said:
Milion Selling Established IP's:

Wii- Super Mario Galaxy, Super Smash Bros. Brawl, WiiPlay, WiiFit, Mario Kart, Mario Party, Zelda, GH, Big Brain, Super Paper Mario, WarioWare, Crossbow Training, Strikers, RE, Sonic, Metroid, Lego Star Wars, RE:UC, RRR2. 19 out of 25, or 76%.

360- Halo 3, Call of Duty 4, GTA4, Forza, Guitar Hero 3, Madden, Tom Clancy Ghost Recon, Tom Clancy Rainbow Vegas, Guitar Hero 2, COD 3, COD 2, Madden 07, Fight Night 3, Tom Clancy Rainbow Vegas 2, PGR3, Need for Speed: Most Wanted, Perfect Dark Zero, Need for Speed: ProStreet, WWE, FIFA, Tom Clancy Splinter Cell, PES 2008, PES 6, DOA 4, DMC 4. That is 29 out of 41 Million sellers relying on established IP's. Or 70.7%.

PS3- GTA, COD 4, GT5:P, MGS4, PES 2008, FIFA, GHIII, Need for Speed, Ratchet, DMC 4. 10 out of 15, or 66.6%.

It seems that the Wii's Million sellers come mostly from established brand names. But the Wii is also the one that has MUCH more Million sellers up their sleeves and Nintendo is apparently the best one at creating new IP's. And since they have a larger userbase it is a given that the software will sell much more.

My guess would be the Wii.

 

Let's be careful throwing around the word best shall we.  Big Brain, Mari Strikers, Link's Crossbow, etc.  may sell like gangbusters, but qualitywise they're nowhere near new IP's available elsewhere.   Bishock, Mass Effect, Uncharted, ...

 

Overall the million sellers count will shift in the Wii's favor, but it will still be a long drawn out battle with the 360 which whill finish second.



whatever on 27 June 2008

Once the Wii gets up over 50 million consoles sold, it will be much easier for a game to reach a million. Plus you'll just see more good games on the system once this happens.

As for PS3 vs. 360, I can see this gap closing, not sure if the PS3 will catch the 360 though. I'd give it a 50-50 chance.



crumas2 on 27 June 2008
whatever said:
Once the Wii gets up over 50 million consoles sold, it will be much easier for a game to reach a million. Plus you'll just see more good games on the system once this happens.

As for PS3 vs. 360, I can see this gap closing, not sure if the PS3 will catch the 360 though. I'd give it a 50-50 chance.

I thought attach rates went down as the hardware installed base went up...