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Forums - Sales - Trusty Bell - first shipment

mrstickball said:
Bona - the difference is that Trusty Bell actually has solid, confirmed hype. It's like comparing Dead Rising to Blue Dragon. Both fantastic games, but one had huge ammounts of hype, a bundled system, ect, ect.

As stated earlier - if retailers are willing to purchase 70,000 copies of Trusty Bell week 1 + the Trusty Bell X360 bundles, then they're also going to do whatever they can to sell those games and bundles too.

A good example to compare would be infact Gundam Mousou, as stated - There were around 170k orders from retailers. Guess what? Retailers pushed the game and it sold out wk. 1.

You cannot stress the importants of retailer pre-orders, because that means no matter what, TB is going to sell the 70k - either first week, or first year, as retailers aren't going to just keep the copies instock, and sit on them.



Just combed through alot of numbers about Blue Dragon:

Blue Dragon's first week shipment was 73,000 units + bundles
Trusty Bell's first week shipmenty is 70,000 units + bundles

Blue Dragon sold 43,000 copies it's first day, not including bundle sales. It ended up with 88,000 for the week, and 35,000 h/w sales that week.

*IF* Trusty Bell sold at the exact same rate, we should expect 83,790 software units sold, including the bundled titles, as well as 33,250 hardware units.

This is all speculative though. BD was a Christmas title, and TB is mid summer, which should greatly affect it. However, these give us numbers to go by.

So whatever TBs first day is, I'd say a 2x multiplier should be expected.

you've got wrong the only thing that is confirmed is that they shipped 70k... do you really think that it will sell through

 



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I didn't say if it'd sell through or not. I was merely stating what BD did previously, as a 360 JRPG title from a notable company.

IMO, I think the majority will sell through, and we'll see anywhere from 60,000~75,000 first week. Could it bomb and do ~20k? Sure, but I just don't see that happening.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

kber81 said:

I expect:

Folksoul - 100k - 120k week one

Ninja Gaiden Sigma - 50k - 70k week one

Trusty Bell - 45k

Looks about right to me. Trusty may do a little more (55k), and I think Gaiden may do a little more (its a very good game after all).

For Folksoul, will wait for some reviews first - no idea about the game at all.

 

 



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How's the hype for Folk Soul in Japan even?

I haven't heard jack squat about the game. It looks great, but great games don't always equal sales. How's the famitsu scoring?



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.

Good question. I haven't seen any scores for it.

Trusty Bell got 9/9/9/8 - 35/40
NGS got 9/8/8/8 - 33/40

I don't see any scores for FolksSoul. It's not in the recent Famitsu Most Wanted list either: http://www.siliconera.com/index.php/2007/06/05/surprise-japan-wants-halo-3-too



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mrstickball said:

*IF* Trusty Bell sold at the exact same rate, we should expect 83,790 software units sold, including the bundled titles, as well as 33,250 hardware units.

That would be crazy. It would have a good shot at being higher than PS3 that week depending on how much NGS does for the PS3. Message boards would implode. Even if it was only for one week.

 



mrstickball said:

Just combed through alot of numbers about Blue Dragon:

Blue Dragon's first week shipment was 73,000 units + bundles
Trusty Bell's first week shipmenty is 70,000 units + bundles

Blue Dragon sold 43,000 copies it's first day, not including bundle sales. It ended up with 88,000 for the week, and 35,000 h/w sales that week.



We should remember  this game is nowhere close to Blue Dragon's massive hype. Yes it looks like classic jRPG but no big names here (Sakaguchi, Toriyama). IMHO this game will not move hardware on BD's scale. It will sell itself around 50k but no chance for an extra 30k X360 sold. X should sell around 15k during release week though.



Trusty Bell will sell less than BD for two reasons, first not a traditional turn base RPG and second doesn't have the big names behind it that BD did.



Thanks to Blacksaber for the sig!

Whoa whoa whoa, there's a big difference between Blue Dragon and Trusty Bell.

When Japanese people bought an Xbox360 before, they bought it for Blue Dragon. The end.

Now, they can buy it to play Trusty Bell and Blue Dragon. That's a big difference. These Xbox360s don't have to sell on the strength of Trusty Bell alone -- anyone who was teetering on the edge thanks to Blue Dragon, kinda sorta considering maybe getting one, will now get one.

I wouldn't be surprised if the total 360 sales were near the number from when Blue Dragon was basically the only real reason Japanese people had to buy the system.



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Dolla Dolla said:
Good question. I haven't seen any scores for it.

Trusty Bell got 9/9/9/8 - 35/40
NGS got 9/8/8/8 - 33/40

I don't see any scores for FolksSoul. It's not in the recent Famitsu Most Wanted list either: http://www.siliconera.com/index.php/2007/06/05/surprise-japan-wants-halo-3-too

I think Famitsu will provide a review next week. As few members already pointed this isn't a classic jRPG so things may go really good (more than 100k) or really bad here (below 50k). I believe it will be pretty successful due to demo. Sixaxis controls gives some spice too.

EDIT: beta -> demo