Notice how they don't mention the percentage increase since HD-DVD's defeat. That's because there isn't one. Blu-Ray will not replace DVD; download will replace DVD.

And fasyxx is right. 1.7 billion in one year to 11 million lifetime = no adoption.

uh, the last weekly nielsen showed Blu @ 7.7% of physical movie media in america but that was 2 weeks old, anyway so the cheap player that Funai just put out hasn't even counted yet as far as the weekly nielsen stuff goes.

Hmmm... I guess your sig must be correct.

Yeah, right, I can't wait to download HD movies with my at best 4 Mb/s, average 1.6 Mb/s, P2P 500 kb/s line.

And it's still10 to 80 times faster than old lines still common, with telcos absolutely not willing to take broadband to small villages, less rich quarters and isolated houses: you can bet that at least 50% of population of developed countries won't download movies for a long, long time.

Who says the movies will be HD? People use YouTube and torrents all the time even though they are often VHS-quality or worse. Convenience and ease of use are more highly valued than HD. This is the reason for the Wii's success as well.

This makes more sense, for VHS quality I download too sometimes, but for HD, downloading it comfortably is quite far for most people, although I agree too that a wider acceptance of HD is quite far too, I don't expect a fast takeoff neither for BD, nor for HD in general, they both need a lot of things to become commodities to hope to reach the masses, first.

I disagree with downloading being the future. It's going to be on-demand entertainment, where you pick what you want to watch and it instantly starts, such as what most cable companies offer now.

Netflix offers it on your compuetr and they are going to have set-top boxes that do the same for your TV. THAT'S the future. No one will buy movies. They will just pay $40 a month or whatever and watch whatever they want whenever they want.