ssj12 said: Is 2nd place really losing it that badly? Plus we have no idea if the Wii will lose steam or not. |
Sony isn't in 2nd place yet, and hoping against hope that the Wii will lose steam is one thing, but if you think that Wii sales will drop low enough month to month, for the PS3 to pull ahead(how long does it take to make up a 13 million lead when your pulling ahead by 100,000 a month?), soon that's gonna be reaching into the impossible.
Can you see the Wii losing steam in Japan?
Sony's failure this gen is undeniable. Even if somehow they did manage to best the Wii by the end, Sony still failed to follow up on the biggest brand name recognition ever amassed in the game industry and basically destroyed their brand in the eyes of all but their most devout followers for a long time, for the reasons the OP mentioned.
I do believe this thread is beating a dead horse.
However, at this stage, denying he has a point, just doesn't seem right, imo.
We have no idea if the PS3 will lose steam, either. At this point, you have to admit, for the PS3 to beat the Wii in a 10 year lifecycle, it would have to sell more than it is now, and the Wii would have to sell far less, even if the Wii only sold for the next fiveish years itself. After the 4th year, all consoles sales are gonna probably slow down. As their momentum slows, also does the prospect of changes in the batting order.
Doing the math, I can no longer understand how anyone truely believes the PS3 has a shot at overtaking the Wii this generation. Lets assume Nintendo makes their conservative Wii predictions this year. How many more units per month, than the Wii, would the PS3 have to sell, in a 10 year lifecycle, to pull ahead of the Wii?
The best thing to hope for at this point, even if the PS3 could win, is a squeeze out victory at the end of the PS3 10 year lifecycle, while the Wii 2 is already on the market. That is not much of a victory either way. Coming off of the PS2, this is a failure, in my book. If Wii2 drops to last place next gen, then Nintendo would have failed to maintain their market stranglehold. I think this gen is already firmly in their grasps. We'll know for sure this time next year, and either the Wii will have dropped off the map, which has almost no chance of happening, or the denials of Wii dominance this gen, from a hardware standpoint, will be over. Until then, there is no use arguing about it. There is still hope, but imo, it is a fleeting illusion.