I refuse to believe any professional analyst could be this delusional, in mid-2008. There are really only two possibilities here:

- CNET is deliberately lying with their projections to benefit themselves in some way (misleading investors? This actually happens a lot more than you would think.)

- CNET is being directly paid by some third party to spread misinformation.

I'm not one to believe in conspiracy theories, but it's impossible that anyone could be this stupid at this point. This is like a senior analyst predicting Zune sales to spike past the ipod; no sane person could make that statement.

Do you really believe that anyone who thinks the Wii has a very strong chance to outsell the PS3 this generation is biased, and that the most likely scenerio, from an unbiased point of view, is that the PS3 has a good chance of winning?

...and that we're biased for calling this article out, while you aren't, despite the fact that you're one of the biggest PS3 fanboys on this site, and sincerely hope that your console will win this generation?

I hope you enjoy defending your predictions now, because in a year or so, you'll have no choice but to move past the denial stage. In fact, at this point the denial stage is a running joke on the internet. All your friends are past it. Why can't you move on? How small does that string of hope have to get before you let it go?

It's just sales figures. Nobody is flaming this article because it's fair. It's terrible, and the people who wrote it....well, let me tell you, do you really trust this? Would you bet your life on it? Cause I believe the smart money would be to bet your house that this prediction didn't come true, at this point. That's just me though, so you have your opinion, but to me, you're wrong, and time will prove it so. 

 You might have a point... if this were 2006.

 In 2006, everybody was using market data from the previous generation and applying it  to the upcoming generation as if they were the same products. The obvious flaw is that these are completely different products being sold in a somewhat different context. It's heavy speculation based on very little empirical data.

Meanwhile, back here in 2008, we have almost two years of empirical data on how these products have been recieved in the marketplace. So sure, things can change, like you say, but the level of uncertainty is much lower two years into a generation than it is before the generation has even begun. And predictions which assume that every uncertain factor will somehow align favourably with only one of the market competitors aren't worth very much, are they?

The ps3 will continue to climb in sales, but it will never pass up the Wii.

I still hold to my predictions from a few months ago. The 360 will die off around the 40-45 million mark, the ps3 will do very well, finishing off around 70-85 million, and the Wii will finish big, selling 150+ million, easily taking the ps2's crown.

In the end, all consoles should do very well, with the lowest selling console this gen doubling the sales of the GC/Xbox.

The thing I predict is that each console will make 5 years or more. And that's about the only think I'm predicting here.

somehow i just can't see the ps3 selling 2.5 times as many consoles as the 360 just as much as i can't see it outselling the wii. Also this chart doesn't go into 2013 but it is basically saying that PS3 sales will continue seeing as they have something like 20 million PS3s sold in 2012, rofl.

hahahahahahalaololololohahahhahalolo... eeeeeeeeeehhhhhhhhh.... hahahhahahalaoalololahhaha.....

I mean seriously...

hjahahahahahalaaololololooolahahaha... WTF R THEY ON?!

How can they possibly come to that conclusion? Sony's idea that over 10 years they will be on top is far more credible than this pile of steaming blue whale ish.

I could go into detail but all I'm going to say is this won't happen.

I am actually astonished that people on THIS site are really trying to argue that this prediction has some credibility.

You do realize you are on a sales tracking site with a lot of past information? right?

I have done trends before that show the sales trend for all the previous consoles. One thing is common for them all. They all peak around the 3rd year and then start a varying decline in annual sales. This graph has the PS3 have a major peak in its 5th year far higher than any previous consoles peak year's.

Sorry, that is just not going to happen. It has never happened. This prediction probably has less than a 1% chance of happening based of historical trends.

The graph is actually quite possible.

Sony's rep did say that they weren't viewing themselves as being in a position where they are competing with nintendo or microsoft.

Sounds like disrupter talk.

That chart shows a what if; what if Sony disrupted nintendo.