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Forums - Sales - Old prediction comes here! (Post yours!)

macross on 18 May 2008

Now, we should take a look the accurary of prediction. You know we never really know the market!

By Colin Campbell

The cumulative NORTH AMERICAN sales for each platform are as follows:

Xbox 360
2006: 6.0m
2007: 12.7m (it just got 10m in May 2008 according NPD)
2008: 19.5m
2009: 24.9m
2010:  29.4m

PlayStation 3
2006: 0.5m
2007: 7.6m
2008: 13.8m
2009: 19.5m
2010:  24.2m

Nintendo Wii
2006: 2.0m
2007: 5.3m
2008: 8.6m
2009: 11.4m
2010:  13.5m

MARKET SHARE (rounded)

2006
360: 70%
Wii: 24%
PS3: 6%

2007
360: 49%
PS3: 29%
Wii: 21%

2008
360: 47%
PS3: 33%
Wii: 20%

2009
360: 45%
PS3: 35%
Wii: 20%

2010
360: 44%
PS3: 36%
Wii: 20% 

The cumulative WORLDWIDE sales for each platform are as follows:


Sony PlayStation 3
2006: 1.0m
2007: 19.5m
2008: 35.5m
2009: 50m
2010: 62m

Xbox 360
2006: 10m
2007:  20.5m
2008: 30.5m
2009: 39m
2010: 46m

Nintendo Wii
2006: 4.0M
2007: 10.5m
2008: 16.5m
2009:  21.5m
2010: 25.0m

MARKET SHARE (rounded)2006
PS3: 7%
360: 66%
Wii: 27%

2007
PS3: 39%
360: 40%
Wii:  21%

2008
PS3: 43%
360: 37%
Wii:  20%

2009
PS3: 45%
360: 35%
Wii:  20%

2010
PS3: 46%
360: 34%
Wii:  20%

 

 TOTAL INSTALLED BASE

NORTH AMERICA
2006: 8.5m
2007: 25.6m
2008: 41.9m
2009: 55.8m
2010: 67.1m

WORLDWIDE
2006: 15.0m
2007: 50.5m
2008: 82.5m
2009: 110.5m
2010: 133.0m

http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=4498&Itemid=2&limit=1&limitstart=0 



Poor PS3 Sales Means Smaller Losses

"Actually, because the number of units sold was not as high as we hoped, the loss was better than our original expectation," Quotes from Sony’s CFO Nobuyuki Oneda.

Around the Network
Majin-Tenshinhan on 18 May 2008

Haha. Oh, how the past can be amusing.



highwaystar101 on 18 May 2008

Uh, one of my predictions was wii will sell 40.5 million units by christmas 2008, lets face it, that's not gonna happen.



Squilliam on 18 May 2008

I predicted that the Xbox360 would outsell the PS3 q3-q4 of 2008. It hasn't not come true yet.



Tease.

Netyaroze on 18 May 2008

PS3 will win the race at the end. The Lifespan will be 10 years Wii maybe 6-7 at the End there will be more PS3s than WII or 360.

Wii: 80-100 Mio
PS3: 110-130 Mio
Xbox 360: 40-60 Mio



Around the Network
Squilliam on 18 May 2008
RolStoppable said:
Netyaroze said:
PS3 will win the race at the end. The Lifespan will be 10 years Wii maybe 6-7 at the End there will be more PS3s than WII or 360.

Wii: 800-900 Mio
PS3: 11-13 Mio
Xbox 360: 400-600 Mio

Keep your delusional predictions to yourself like I do. You don't see me going around and claiming that Austria will win Euro 2008, do you?

Fixed for you.



Tease.

Joeykanga on 18 May 2008

Units Sold/Shipped By the end of 2007

Nintendo DS: 56m/60m
PSP: 25m/30m

Nintendo Wii: 17m/20m
PlayStation 3: 14m/17m
Xbox 360: 13.5m/20m

-------------------------------------------------------------
Yes I was crazy at that time, I posted that post on 4/11/2007



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Tag courtesy of fkusumot: Joeykanga - "Just post something once, don't ruin the thread"
Squilliam on 18 May 2008
RolStoppable said:
Squilliam said:
RolStoppable said:
Netyaroze said:
PS3 will win the race at the end. The Lifespan will be 10 years Wii maybe 6-7 at the End there will be more PS3s than WII or 360.

Wii: 90-200 Mio
PS3: 40-50 Mio
Xbox 360: 40-50 Mio

Keep your delusional predictions to yourself like I do. You don't see me going around and claiming that Austria will win Euro 2008, do you?

Fixed for you.


This doesn't add up at all. If you do some fixing, at least try to get it right.
refixed for you again.

 



Tease.

Squilliam on 18 May 2008
RolStoppable said:
Squilliam said:
RolStoppable said:
Squilliam said:
RolStoppable said:
Netyaroze said:
PS3 will win the race at the end. The Lifespan will be 10 years Wii maybe 6-7 at the End there will be more PS3s than WII or 360.

Wii: 90-150 Mio
PS3: 50-60 Mio
Xbox 360: 40-60 Mio

Keep your delusional predictions to yourself like I do. You don't see me going around and claiming that Austria will win Euro 2008, do you?

Fixed for you.


This doesn't add up at all. If you do some fixing, at least try to get it right.
refixed for you again.

Let's see: If I take the worst case numbers for PS3 and 360 and the best case number for the Wii, I get 80m vs. 200m which means that the Wii would have sold 2.5 times as many units as the PS3 and 360 combined. Try again.

Ok I fixed it for the fix that wasn't a fix.



Tease.

Oyvoyvoyv on 18 May 2008

^

He's trying to make fun, not war.

I'm not sure if he's succeding though.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS