Well, there's no way you could say the 360 (or MS effort) is sinking. I'd say right now MS is in a mixed position but still has good prospects based on the following:
Good
1) while it is seeing smallest growth overall it is still growing (which is good as the 'oldest' of the 3 consoles on the market
2) its SW sales remain strong and in US it has made a big impression
3) On a quarterly basis (i.e. not LTD) MS is profitable with their videogame efforts
4) Money still available to buy exclusives and get games that would probably otherwise be cross-platform - for example if I was creating LO you can bet I'd get it on PS3 looking at AC sales
Average
1) Its much touted attach rate is not amazing next to PS3 anymore (although the difference in base is contributing to that)
2) PS3 is definately looking to be a nose ahead in Others now (although price cuts and aggresive advertising is keeping MS in shouting distance) and is holding steady in US rather than collapsing
3) Recent sales of multi-platform sales will ensure PS3 gets good support now vs weaker support a year ago (COD4, AC, DMC4, GTA, etc) whereas MS must have been hoping that the cost of PS3 development coupled with initially much better sales for 360 would cause some developers to focus purely on 360
Bad
1) The Wii came out of left field and overtook it WW - from this angle I could see the arguement its lead was squandered, although you could argue MS did not so much squander it as find themselves totally unable to compete with the Wii offering and its catching of the cultural zeitgeist
2) PS3 now looks to have a chance of getting equal sales globally if not more based on current trends and current market (i.e. analysts, etc) expectations for this year
3) Persistant recurance of RROD fears
4) LTD still in red even with fancy accounting offsetting $1 B for RROD, etc.
5) Japan still apparently 'dead' for them.
So, getting to market first did not 'kill' Sony nor did it give them a very long time in front before being overtaken by Wii, but they are doing better than Xbox and have got a firm foothold in industry now (particularly online with Live and the massive focus on owners on MP Halo, GoW, etc).
So 'Sinking'... no. Crusing ahead as the clear winner as a result of getting to market first and spending a lot of money on exclusives... no. Still in the game and successful in their own right... yes'ish (depending upon your criteria for success I guess).
Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...










: "sinking" could be an elegant, and original too, solution for "overheating"
