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Forums - Sales - The Gap between PS3 and Xbox 360

Starcraft, I think your math is pretty meaningless, as the situation varies a lot, and one might sell 400K above the other in the holiday season. I'll try to do it in a different way.

If you look at the total sales this far into 2008 Ps3 has sold 3280K consoles. X360 has sold 2463K. That means that Ps3 has sold about 33% more, or 1/3 more than X360.

Furhter more, the Ps3 has 57% of the market share between the 2 consoles.

Last year's sales for these two consoles were 7720K for Ps3 and 8191K for X360, or a total of 15911K. If we say that since both consoles are in a later year, where by earlier stats, X360 should peak and Ps3 be on its second best year, we should also add 20% to those sales to find the likely full sales for this year. That's 19000K, or 19M.

 If we assume that the Ps3's momentum will have a fairly big increase and jump to 60%, it will sell 11.4M this year, whereas the 360 will sell 7.6M.

Now, the Ps3 has already sold 3280K this year, meaning it still has left about 8.1M in sales. The 360 has sold 2463K, meaning it has 5.2M left in sales.

My prediction says; Ps3 will not be able to half the gap between Ps3 and X360 this year, it won't even be close.

Now, the following is very briefly done.

2009 should be the year where X360 drops a bit, and Ps3 peaks. The total sales should be around 18M now, but let's say 20M, as that makes it a lot easier for me.

As the 360 has dropped a bit, it should see 35% market share against the PS3. This means Ps3 will have 65%, or sell close to the double of the 360.

Sales will then be at 13M for Ps3 and 7M for X360, making the Ps3 end about 2M in front of the 360 after 09. This is close to the best case scenario I can think of for the Ps3, as I see their market share being a bit lower both years, and thus also X360's a bit higher.

 



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Oyvoyvoyv said:

Starcraft, I think your math is pretty meaningless, as the situation varies a lot, and one might sell 400K above the other in the holiday season. I'll try to do it in a different way.

If you look at the total sales this far into 2008 Ps3 has sold 3280K consoles. X360 has sold 2463K. That means that Ps3 has sold about 33% more, or 1/3 more than X360.

Furhter more, the Ps3 has 57% of the market share between the 2 consoles.

Last year's sales for these two consoles were 7720K for Ps3 and 8191K for X360, or a total of 15911K. If we say that since both consoles are in a later year, where by earlier stats, X360 should peak and Ps3 be on its second best year, we should also add 20% to those sales to find the likely full sales for this year. That's 19000K, or 19M.

If we assume that the Ps3's momentum will have a fairly big increase and jump to 60%, it will sell 11.4M this year, whereas the 360 will sell 7.6M.

Now, the Ps3 has already sold 3280K this year, meaning it still has left about 8.1M in sales. The 360 has sold 2463K, meaning it has 5.2M left in sales.

My prediction says; Ps3 will not be able to half the gap between Ps3 and X360 this year, it won't even be close.

Now, the following is very briefly done.

2009 should be the year where X360 drops a bit, and Ps3 peaks. The total sales should be around 18M now, but let's say 20M, as that makes it a lot easier for me.

As the 360 has dropped a bit, it should see 35% market share against the PS3. This means Ps3 will have 65%, or sell close to the double of the 360.

Sales will then be at 13M for Ps3 and 7M for X360, making the Ps3 end about 2M in front of the 360 after 09. This is close to the best case scenario I can think of for the Ps3, as I see their market share being a bit lower both years, and thus also X360's a bit higher.

 

You said my math is pretty meaningless, then proceeded to provide alternate math that brings you to a conclusion almost exactly the same as mine............

 



starcraft - Playing Games = FUN, Talking about Games = SERIOUS

PS3 will be in front of the 360 in world wide consoles by February 2009



In reading all these, I think it's funny that people think MS will cut there price, and Sony will follow. The last time both cut prices, it was the other way around. I see it happening that way again.

Anyway, to the question.

1. Nothing. At this point, they would have to do something really stupid (and they are not that dumb).
2. Nothing. At this point, they would have to do something really brilliant (and they are not that smart).



I just discovered that the PS3 launched 50 weeks into the life of the XBox 360 when the 360 had sold around 5 million. Just over  5 million hardware sold in XBox 360's  first year is a terrible result.



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starcraft said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:

Sales will then be at 13M for Ps3 and 7M for X360, making the Ps3 end about 2M in front of the 360 after 09. This is close to the best case scenario I can think of for the Ps3, as I see their market share being a bit lower both years, and thus also X360's a bit higher.

 

You said my math is pretty meaningless, then proceeded to provide alternate math that brings you to a conclusion almost exactly the same as mine............

He means his math is right, but with a little deviation, Meaning that the PS3 will still be in front of the 360 at the end of 09, it just might not be at the 2M level,.

Is that your conclusion as well? 



I said that it is likely that the PS3 will catch the Xbox 360 in the holiday period of 2009, or just into the next year. So yeah, my opinion is essentially identical to Oyvoyvoyv's.



starcraft - Playing Games = FUN, Talking about Games = SERIOUS

starcraft said:

Last week the PS3 was riding high on a lift from the biggest Sony-associated franchise released thus far, and it still couldn't get 100k in front of the Xbox 360.

Your kidding right? The same game launches on both consoles (and are of the same quality), with the 360 being cheeper and having exclusive DLC. With this, the PS3 still sells 1/3 more then the 360, and you find this a failure on Sony's part?

There are no words for the bias in your head.... no words.

 



TheRealMafoo said:
starcraft said:

Last week the PS3 was riding high on a lift from the biggest Sony-associated franchise released thus far, and it still couldn't get 100k in front of the Xbox 360.

Your kidding right? The same game launches on both consoles (and are of the same quality), with the 360 being cheeper and having exclusive DLC. With this, the PS3 still sells 1/3 more then the 360, and you find this a failure on Sony's part?

There are no words for the bias in your head.... no words.

 


 Starcraft is on his own to beat the 360 drum. To bad Starcraft, the PS3 will be in front of the 360 by February 2009.



TheRealMafoo said:
starcraft said:

Last week the PS3 was riding high on a lift from the biggest Sony-associated franchise released thus far, and it still couldn't get 100k in front of the Xbox 360.

Your kidding right? The same game launches on both consoles (and are of the same quality), with the 360 being cheeper and having exclusive DLC. With this, the PS3 still sells 1/3 more then the 360, and you find this a failure on Sony's part?

There are no words for the bias in your head.... no words.

You truly have no grasp on the concept of context huh?

For example, taken as you wrote them, my words look silly, left in the context you cherry-picked them from, they make perfect sense, and are a perfectly reasonable observation. 

 



starcraft - Playing Games = FUN, Talking about Games = SERIOUS