| Oyvoyvoyv said: Starcraft, I think your math is pretty meaningless, as the situation varies a lot, and one might sell 400K above the other in the holiday season. I'll try to do it in a different way. If you look at the total sales this far into 2008 Ps3 has sold 3280K consoles. X360 has sold 2463K. That means that Ps3 has sold about 33% more, or 1/3 more than X360. Furhter more, the Ps3 has 57% of the market share between the 2 consoles. Last year's sales for these two consoles were 7720K for Ps3 and 8191K for X360, or a total of 15911K. If we say that since both consoles are in a later year, where by earlier stats, X360 should peak and Ps3 be on its second best year, we should also add 20% to those sales to find the likely full sales for this year. That's 19000K, or 19M. If we assume that the Ps3's momentum will have a fairly big increase and jump to 60%, it will sell 11.4M this year, whereas the 360 will sell 7.6M. Now, the Ps3 has already sold 3280K this year, meaning it still has left about 8.1M in sales. The 360 has sold 2463K, meaning it has 5.2M left in sales. My prediction says; Ps3 will not be able to half the gap between Ps3 and X360 this year, it won't even be close. Now, the following is very briefly done. 2009 should be the year where X360 drops a bit, and Ps3 peaks. The total sales should be around 18M now, but let's say 20M, as that makes it a lot easier for me. As the 360 has dropped a bit, it should see 35% market share against the PS3. This means Ps3 will have 65%, or sell close to the double of the 360. Sales will then be at 13M for Ps3 and 7M for X360, making the Ps3 end about 2M in front of the 360 after 09. This is close to the best case scenario I can think of for the Ps3, as I see their market share being a bit lower both years, and thus also X360's a bit higher.
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