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Forums - Sales - Is this a fair prediction?

disolitude said:
timmah said:
Wii: 110 Million -130 Bazillion (Depending on whether Wii Fit gets on Oprah)
PS3: 49-56 Million
X360: 45-52 Million

One thing that is a total wildcard is how well the Wii does when it's released in China.

Hah, good one. What if she loves Halo Wars?

I think Wii and 360 prediction is right. PS3 is a little high. 50-60 million for PS3 would be my guess.


Haha! That would be funny. Can you imagine being online and getting pwned by someone called soccermom63 or housewifeasskicker?

BTW, were you trying to say my numbers were low? because the numbers you posted are higher than mine. Our number ranges overlap anyway, so it's not really that big of a difference.



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I'm not sure if PS3 will get ahead of Xbox360, well see int he couple of weeks, because X360 will more likely get a bigger boost in HW than PS3, especially in Europe, for the sole reason of being able to run a pirated copy of GTAIV. Plus, no killzone 2 and new FF before 2009.

It's very hard to tell, but i simply think that MS still has more manevaouring space regarding pricecuts than Sony, R&D costs for PS3 were massive, and it still hasn't taken off, while MS took cheaper aproach in R&D, and would probbly loose less money with yet another price cut. If they fully sort the reliability problem out, i think they're going to be on a winning streak.

But i don't know jack :)



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timmah said:
Wii: 110 Million -130 Bazillion (Depending on whether Wii Fit gets on Oprah)
PS3: 49-56 Million
X360: 45-52 Million

One thing that is a total wildcard is how well the Wii does when it's released in China.

 If i was Nintendo, i would go as far as developing "WiiFit: Oprah edition"

 Wii should do well in China hardware wise, but poor softwar sales, China values pirate-friendly stuff. But they have nothing to loose, it's better to sell million of hardware  (if you don't loose money on it, and N doesn't), than to sell nothing at all.



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in 2010 I see

PS3-85million
Wii-65million
X360-55million

$299.99 PS3= Wii's advantage done.



 

mM

Wii - 105 million
PS3 - 55 million
Xbox360 - 45 million



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leo-j said:
in 2010 I see

PS3-85million
Wii-65million
X360-55million

$299.99 PS3= Wii's advantage done.

$149-$199 Wii = Your prediction phailing.



leo-j said:
in 2010 I see

PS3-85million
Wii-65million
X360-55million

$299.99 PS3= Wii's advantage done.

What is the Wii's advantage that the PS3, being at $299.99, could steal? Are you talking about the motion controls?

Sqrl said:

Wii - 28M
PS3 - 13M
360 - 10M

 

I would tend to agree with you, except I think you're high ending the 360. It's been out for a little more than two years, probably close to 2.5 years, so it's averaging 7.5 million a year or so. I doubt it's going to increase enough over the next 3 years to average 10 million a year. Wii is probably a bit high, I would have gone with your 26 million, and I think PS3 is pretty much spot on (I might lower it a bit).

OT: When you say "in three years" I suppose you mean late April 2011 sales. Well... I'm not sure what it'll be at that time, but I'll take a shot at end of 2011 sales:

Wii: 108 million
PS3: 50 million
360: 36 million



@ leo j. what are you on???



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leo-j said:
in 2010 I see

PS3-85million
Wii-65million
X360-55million

$299.99 PS3= Wii's advantage done.

......anyways, in 3 years I'm guessing Wii-70+million PS3-35+million 360-40+million. I'm really tired so these numbers have been thrown out from space.

Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. "  thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."