Do we know when was the last time Nintendo consoles had a market share of over 80% in the Japanese market like it has this year as of yet?

I've posted RotW estimates for June. 

Circana (NPD) drops on Wednesday, so at a minimum I plan to get Americas estimates live on that day. And hopefully get Europe estimates up as well. With the worldwide breakdown posted on Thursday or Friday. 

I know many are waiting to see our estimates for the first month (5 weeks) of Switch 2. Depending on Circana the first month (5 weeks) will likely be in the 5-5.5 million range for our estimates, then we will make any necessary adjustments once Nintendo releases their earnings report and we get shipment numbers. 

Maybe some point in December 2006 because of Wii, DS, outgoing GBA sales, and a tiny bit of GameCube. 

It's interesting that Switch still outsold PS5 by tens of thousands of units when its replacement launched on the 5th of the month. 

I am working on the estimates now that Circana (NPD) is out. Though it will likely take longer than usual. 

Americas estimates for June 2025

Link to the VGChartz article here.

Switch 2 Sold Over 1.9M in Launch Month - Americas Hardware Estimates for June 2025

The Nintendo Switch 2 was the best-selling console in the Americas (USA, Canada, & Latin America) with 1.91 million units sold for June 2025, according to VGChartz estimates.

The PlayStation 5 was the second best-selling console with an estimated 333,729 units sold to bring lifetime sales to 31.22 million units. The Nintendo Switch was the third best-selling console with an estimated 110,280 units sold to bring lifetime sales to 56.93 million units. The Xbox Series X|S came in fourth place with 100,624 units sold to bring its lifetime sales to 20.52 million units.

Switch 2 sales compared to the first month for Switch 1 in 2017 are up by 0.87 million units as the Switch 1 sold 1.04 million units in its first month in the Americas in March 2017.

PS5 sales compared to the same month for the PS4 in 2018 are down by nearly 110,000 units, while the Xbox Series X|S compared to the same month for the Xbox One are down by over 227,000 units. PS4 sold 443,597 units for the month of June 2018 and Xbox One sales were at 327,960 units.

PlayStation 5 sales compared to the same month a year ago are down by 33,672 (-9.2%). Xbox Series X|S sales are down by 99,330 units (-49.7%) and Nintendo Switch 1 sales are down by 124,460 units (-53.0%).

Looking at sales month-on-month, PlayStation 5 sales are up by nearly 64,000 units, Xbox Series X|S sales are up by over 14,000 units, and Nintendo Switch 1 sales are up by over 22,000 units.

2025 year-to-date, the PlayStation 5 has sold an estimated 2.00 million units, the Nintendo Switch 2 has sold 1.91 million units, the Xbox Series X|S has sold 0.87 million units, and the Nintendo Switch 1 has sold 0.75 million units.

Monthly Sales:

Americas hardware estimates for June 2025 (Followed by lifetime sales):

1. Switch 2 - 1,906,975 (NEW)
2. PlayStation 5 - 333,729 (31,215,694)
3. Switch 1 - 110,280 (56,929,621)
4. Xbox Series X|S - 100,624 (20,515,037)

USA hardware estimates for June 2025:

1. Switch 2 - 1,624,673
2. PlayStation 5 - 280,341
3. Switch 1 - 93,046
4. Xbox Series X|S - 85,018

Weekly Sales:

June 7, 2025 hardware estimates:

Americas:

1. Switch 2 - 1,475,166
2. PlayStation 5 - 71,069
3. Switch 1 - 20,301
4. Xbox Series X|S - 19,612

USA:

1. Switch 2 - 1,254,476
2. PlayStation 5 - 59,725
3. Switch 1 - 17,152
4. Xbox Series X|S - 16,554

June 14, 2025 hardware estimates:

Americas:

1. Switch 2 - 129,216
2. PlayStation 5 - 67,002
3. Switch 1 - 20,894
4. Xbox Series X|S - 19,888

USA:

1. Switch 2 - 112,307
2. PlayStation 5 - 56,286
3. Switch 1 - 17,679
4. Xbox Series X|S - 16,798

June 21, 2025 hardware estimates:

Americas:

1. Switch 2 - 101,797
2. PlayStation 5 - 64,460
3. Switch 1 - 22,251
4. Xbox Series X|S - 20,070

USA:

1. Switch 2 - 88,240
2. PlayStation 5 - 54,125
3. Switch 1 - 18,796
4. Xbox Series X|S - 16,973

June 28, 2025 hardware estimates:

Americas:

1. Switch 2 - 115,188
2. PlayStation 5 - 63,609
3. Switch 1 - 23,440
4. Xbox Series X|S - 20,406

USA:

1. Switch 2 - 96,912
2. PlayStation 5 - 53,384
3. Switch 1 - 19,724
4. Xbox Series X|S - 17,261

July 5, 2025 hardware estimates:

Americas:

1. Switch 2 - 85,608
2. PlayStation 5 - 67,589
3. Switch 1 - 23,394
4. Xbox Series X|S - 20,648

USA:

1. Switch 2 - 72,738
2. PlayStation 5 - 56,821
3. Switch 1 - 19,695
4. Xbox Series X|S - 17,432

Xbox outsold by Switch1 in its home region in the month Switch2 came out....man o man it's going downhill fast now.

Europe estimates for June 2025

Link to the VGChartz article here.

Switch 2 Sets Record for Biggest Launch in Europe - Europe Hardware Estimates for June 2025

The Nintendo Switch 2 was the best-selling console in Europe with 1,107,738 units sold for June 2025, according to VGChartz estimates. 

The PlayStation 5 was the second best-selling console with an estimated 315,982 units sold to bring lifetime sales to 26.46 million units. The Nintendo Switch 1 was the third best-selling console with an estimated 60,535 units sold to bring lifetime sales to 38.94 million units. The Xbox Series X|S came in fourth place with 39,602 units sold to bring its lifetime sales to 8.50 million units.

Switch 2 sales compared to the first month for Switch 1 in 2017 are up by 0.45 million units as the Switch 1 sold 0.66 million units in its first month in Europe in March 2017.

PS5 sales compared to the same month for the PS4 in 2018 are down by over 91,000 units, while the Xbox Series X|S compared to the same month for the Xbox One are down by nearly 61,000 units. PS4 sold 407,285 units for the month of June 2018 and Xbox One sales were at 100,366 units.

PlayStation 5 sales compared to the same month a year ago are down by 42,396 (-11.8%). Xbox Series X|S sales are down by 33,387 units (-45.7%) and Nintendo Switch 1 sales are down by 102,763 units (-62.9%).

Looking at sales month-on-month, PlayStation 5 sales are up by over 38,000 units, Xbox Series X|S sales are up by nearly 4,000 units, and Nintendo Switch 1 sales are down by nearly 25,000.

2025 year-to-date, the PlayStation 5 has sold an estimated 1.73 million units, the Nintendo Switch 2 has sold 1.11 million units, the Nintendo Switch 1 has sold 0.51 million units, and the Xbox Series X|S has sold 0.27 million units.

Monthly Sales:

Europe hardware estimates for June 2025 (Followed by lifetime sales):

1. Switch 2 - 1,107,738 (NEW)
2. PlayStation 5 - 315,982 (26,462,272)
3. Switch 1 - 60,535 (38,936,295)
4. Xbox Series X|S - 39,602 (8,497,233)

Weekly Sales:

Europe June 7, 2025 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 768,778
2. PlayStation 5 - 79,373
3. Switch 1 - 13,787
4. Xbox Series X|S - 8,414

Europe June 14, 2025 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 110,872
2. PlayStation 5 - 65,984
3. Switch 1 - 11,771
4. Xbox Series X|S - 7,844

Europe June 21, 2025 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 81,481
2. PlayStation 5 - 56,611
3. Switch 1 - 11,867
4. Xbox Series X|S - 7,741

Europe June 28, 2025 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 73,640
2. PlayStation 5 - 57,873
3. Switch 1 - 11,856
4. Xbox Series X|S - 7,920

Europe July 5, 2025 hardware estimates:

1. Switch 2 - 72,967
2. PlayStation 5 - 56,141
3. Switch 1 - 11,254
4. Xbox Series X|S - 7,683

Thank you very much everyone in the team for pumping out those highly anticipated June 2025 estimates, very well done & very much appreciated!

Can't wait for the worldwide estimates now, looking forward to Thursday or Friday.

On a side note:

My sense is your ww Switch 2 estimates will have a deviation of only ±3% and be spot on.

I would love to be within 3%. With the amount of data we get I am happy if we are within 10%. It should be noted Nintendo's earnings report will be through June 30, while our first month is through July 5. So we have an extra 5 days of sales. 

Speaking of worldwide. Those numbers are done and on the site. So, we have Switch 2 at 5.01 million in month one. However, I like to spread out the articles, so will post the worldwide breakdown tomorrow morning my time. 

My sense is also just estimating, ;), but I really do think you're gonna be very close.

But ofc you're right, even ±10%, at ~±5m ww, would be a very good hit anyway.

(As far as the 5 days extra go, I'll be able to calculate them out of the equation to find out how close you'd gotten. :))

Yes, that's a good idea to spread out the articles. Today's articles were already very interesting though.

Thanks again, it's just great to have you & the team around in 2025 - and now even with another new console on board!