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Forums - Sales - January 2025 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

PS5 350k
NSW 175k
Xbox 150k



Please excuse my (probally) poor grammar

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Circana is out and all I can think about is where the hell is Indiana Jones? on Xbox it's being beaten by Flight Sim 24 and FH5 in revenue, two titles also on gamepass, in it's second month? What is going on??!? By most accounts it's MS's best title in a long time and it's just gone poof even compared to other gamepass titles. I don't understand how, MS just can't catch a break recently.



Zippy6 said:

Circana is out and all I can think about is where the hell is Indiana Jones? on Xbox it's being beaten by Flight Sim 24 and FH5 in revenue, two titles also on gamepass, in it's second month? What is going on??!? By most accounts it's MS's best title in a long time and it's just gone poof even compared to other gamepass titles. I don't understand how, MS just can't catch a break recently.

Why would it be so surprising? Forza horizon 5 has long legs and simulators make a lot of money thats why we got a 24 version. Indy beaten sport games like UFC would be amazing.






I'm working on the full report right now but here is hardware data:

Total: $205M (-45% YoY in terms of dollar sales)

  • PS5 -38% YoY
  • NS -53% YoY 
  • XS -50% YoY 

Units: PS5 > NS > XS
Revenue: PS5 > XS > NS

Last edited by trunkswd - on 21 February 2025

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

VGC's January is 4 weeks too, right?



 

 

 

 

 

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konnichiwa said:
Zippy6 said:

Circana is out and all I can think about is where the hell is Indiana Jones? on Xbox it's being beaten by Flight Sim 24 and FH5 in revenue, two titles also on gamepass, in it's second month? What is going on??!? By most accounts it's MS's best title in a long time and it's just gone poof even compared to other gamepass titles. I don't understand how, MS just can't catch a break recently.

Why would it be so surprising? Forza horizon 5 has long legs and simulators make a lot of money thats why we got a 24 version. Indy beaten sport games like UFC would be amazing.

UFC 5 was released in 2023, and no this list doesn't include microtransaction spending.... Indie should not have dropped out of the top 10 on Xbox in only it's second month and losing to older gamepass titles. Also note this is for Xbox only and Flightsim is almost certainly more popular on PC. Outside of CoD of course this was meant to be their big title of the year. The steam player count was the first sign something was up but this is the smoking gun.



Zippy6 said:

Circana is out and all I can think about is where the hell is Indiana Jones? on Xbox it's being beaten by Flight Sim 24 and FH5 in revenue, two titles also on gamepass, in it's second month? What is going on??!? By most accounts it's MS's best title in a long time and it's just gone poof even compared to other gamepass titles. I don't understand how, MS just can't catch a break recently.

The bar has gotten so low that no matter how bad a game performs, it will still manage to impress a bunch of people.



haxxiy said:

VGC's January is 4 weeks too, right?

Correct. We follow Circana (NPD) when it comes to what weeks go into what months. That means March, June, September, and December are always 5 week months, while a year with 53 weeks puts the extra week into January.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Zippy6 said:
konnichiwa said:

Why would it be so surprising? Forza horizon 5 has long legs and simulators make a lot of money thats why we got a 24 version. Indy beaten sport games like UFC would be amazing.

UFC 5 was released in 2023, and no this list doesn't include microtransaction spending.... Indie should not have dropped out of the top 10 on Xbox in only it's second month and losing to older gamepass titles. Also note this is for Xbox only and Flightsim is almost certainly more popular on PC. Outside of CoD of course this was meant to be their big title of the year. The steam player count was the first sign something was up but this is the smoking gun.

I kind of agree with you that the sales doesn't seem to be great for Indy but you are screaming Doom when Nadella and especially Disney are happy with the results and seem to want more games...

I know FMS is popular on PC but I don't really know how much it matters, I tend to buy all my games on PC and then just play it on my xbox don't those count as xbox games sales? 






konnichiwa said:
Zippy6 said:

UFC 5 was released in 2023, and no this list doesn't include microtransaction spending.... Indie should not have dropped out of the top 10 on Xbox in only it's second month and losing to older gamepass titles. Also note this is for Xbox only and Flightsim is almost certainly more popular on PC. Outside of CoD of course this was meant to be their big title of the year. The steam player count was the first sign something was up but this is the smoking gun.

I kind of agree with you that the sales doesn't seem to be great for Indy but you are screaming Doom when Nadella and especially Disney are happy with the results and seem to want more games...

I know FMS is popular on PC but I don't really know how much it matters, I tend to buy all my games on PC and then just play it on my xbox don't those count as xbox games sales? 

I assume the chart includes purchases through Xbox store on PC.

A company saying they are happy does not always mean they are happy. They're not going to say it's doing bad, especially when they have it launching on another system soon. I assume right now they are probably banking on strong results from the PS5 launch.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 21 February 2025