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Forums - Sales Discussion - UPDATE - Switch 2 Sales Predictions: How High can it Fly?

 

How Many Units Will the Switch 2 Sell Worldwide in its Lifetime?

Under 75 million (Still pessimistic) 9 13.85%
 
75–100 million (DS to 3DS drop) 7 10.77%
 
100–120 million (PS1 to PS4 level) 27 41.54%
 
120–140 million (Huge success) 11 16.92%
 
140–150 million (Nearly Switch 2.0) 2 3.08%
 
150–165 million (IT PRINTS MONEY!) 5 7.69%
 
165 million+ (1 more than the PS2?) 4 6.15%
 
Total:65

I voted the 100-120 million range. I was relatively confident of something like that before today, and more confident now.
Some Switch owners will never get Switch 2, some consumers won't be interested in it, the game prices are going to sting if they're not reversed. $450 isn't great, but not as bad as $500.
I think it outsells Wii and PS1, but not so sure it surpasses PS4 and Game Boy+Game Boy Color. In the likely event Switch hits around 161 million (narrowly beating PS2), 110-115 million or so units for Switch 2 will be a big step down but not a disaster.

And keep in mind, Switch 2 could be replaced in 6-7.5 years, not the 8.33 years between Switch and Switch 2. 



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 40 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million. then 48 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

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Switch 2 price point is not terrible but it will reduce the amount of multi switch owners per home. With tax that thing is $500



https://x.com/shinobi602/status/1907536101041975306

Bruh



Why exactly is he hitting Vietnam with tariffs?



Vietnam is a socialist Marxist-leninist state, maybe he wants to punish them for it? Lol



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90 million is my guess. I wish it the best, but with those prices i would surprised if it surpassed 120 million.



Kyuu said:

https://x.com/shinobi602/status/1907536101041975306

Bruh

As a gamer, I have the moral obligation of hating donald trump.



Ryzen 7 5700G

Radeon RX 6750 XT

16 GB of RAM

Steam Deck 

Nintendo Switch OLED

Norion said:
TheRealSamusAran said:

Remember when the PS5 Pro was a guaranteed flop?

It's still early but it's looking like after a good launch it's slowed down a lot so will probably sell significantly worse than the PS4 Pro. The pricing of it is definitely notably hurting sales I'd say.

The PS5 Pro was never going to sell as much as the PS4 Pro, just as PS5 base is not selling as much as PS4 base either. But maybe we need to wait and see if the console has legs.



Ryzen 7 5700G

Radeon RX 6750 XT

16 GB of RAM

Steam Deck 

Nintendo Switch OLED

We're seeing a very nice bell curve so far:

I tried to stay optimistic, but with the $449 price point and $80 games, I think 100-120 million is more realistic.



Playing Xenoblade 2 before I buy Xenoblade 3 (otherwise I couldn't wait to play 3).

Can they announce a new Fire Emblem? A remake of Genealogy or Tellius would suffice !

TheRealSamusAran said:
Norion said:

It's still early but it's looking like after a good launch it's slowed down a lot so will probably sell significantly worse than the PS4 Pro. The pricing of it is definitely notably hurting sales I'd say.

The PS5 Pro was never going to sell as much as the PS4 Pro, just as PS5 base is not selling as much as PS4 base either. But maybe we need to wait and see if the console has legs.

Base PS5 is selling as much as PS4