I think it will do 3DS numbers at most. 3DS was a much bigger success than people give it credit for, so even saying that is very generous towards switch 2. The Switch 1 had no competition, but the Switch 2 has so much that it's a really hard sell. 3DS was discounted to 180$ shortly after it's launch due to poor sales, so how is a minimum 399$ system going to out sell a 180$ one?