After 2 weeks, the poll is holding steady at 65% 100-150 million votes. 75-100 million seems to be creeping up slightly, at 17%. Should I hold off until the April Direct to make a new poll (breaking out the 100-150mil range) or make a new one sooner?

@Olivernintentoal I think you should just wait until the April Direct, since it is just less than 2 months away. Would be interesting to see where things stand between now and then!

Yes, from a massive 5 million userbase🤣😂 I am sure Switch 2 is "shivering in fear"!🤣😂

Are we even allowed to call the Steam Deck "competition"? I mean its getting its ass kicked by the Switch you could feel sorry for that thing...😀

The decline of Xbox should make it easier for Nintendo to sell a lot of consoles, because Xbox is really only alive in the NA market, meaning in big markets like Europe and Japan only two consoles really exist, PS5 and Switch/Switch 2. So Nintendo really has only 1 potential competitor in most big console markets.

Under 4 weeks left to vote before the April 2 direct! Get your votes in and make sure to let us know if your expectations have changed!

Should be around 120m imo especially if they go for another 8 to 9 year run remember Switch is the only viable option for those into portable gaming, the likes of MK, Pokemon, AC, Zelda etc... leaves little alternative.

30- 50 million LTD minimum! But the Steam Deck is a mighty competitior with all of its exclusives and a maaasive 3,7 million install base! This could really be a problem from the Switch 2😉😂. Sarcasm Mode ON [OFF]

Still too uncertain to say anything at this time. All we’ve seen is a brief teaser that said almost nothing except “no more joycon disconnections during handheld mode” and Mario Kart.

Consoles sell based on system sellers. “System sellers” are basically groups of games that will sell consoles. Then there are the rare ones known as killer apps, these are games or features that sell hardware on their own in exceedingly huge numbers (what’s the line? Probably at least 10 million) - these are your Wii Sports, Breath of the Wilds, GTA trilogy, Super Mario Bros, Pokémons (Pokémen?), and even non-gaming applications like DVD playback. And the top selling consoles all have two or more of these - the Switch had 3 (Breath of the Wild, Mario Kart 8DX, and Animal Crossing NH which likely all sold 10 million+ Switches apiece on their own in- and that’s on top of numerous system sellers like Tears of the Kingdom, Mario Odyssey, and more… some system sellers aren’t necessarily big sellers, but they cover a specific niche that a certain subset of players really want. Arguably, the Switch’s ability to go between home console mode and handheld could be a fourth killer app feature.

Before making any calls, I’d like to know what games and features are coming to Switch 2, and what could be a potential killer app. Because Switch 2 won’t get far without system sellers or killer apps, and after consoles like Wii U and Gamecube which had no killer apps, and very little on the system sellers aren’t necessarily front, we’ve seen the proof that Nintendo is not beyond failure. That said, with such a conservative generation, I think a 3DS decline is looking like the worst case scenario at this point, best case scenario is that it hits with greater support than Switch 1, multiple killer apps with virality with few parallels (similar to or exceeding something like Breath of the Wild, Pokémon, or Minecraft).

When we know those answers, things will become more clear.

We’re all playing the same game here with the same set of rules. Obviously more info is needed to make a truly educated guess. Care to just offer a baseline? Like if everything else they do other than call it Switch 2 and release a Mario Kart title is terrible and nothing hits (this is wildly unlikely), what will the Switch 2 sell?

If the Switch 2 is launched at a fairly competive price and has some solid first party and third party support, i am near certain that it will sell well. I actually think the pricepoint will be very important for Nintendo, given that they have never shown the ability to sell hardware based on brand name alone like Sony can do with PS.