Jumpin said:
Still too uncertain to say anything at this time. All we’ve seen is a brief teaser that said almost nothing except “no more joycon disconnections during handheld mode†and Mario Kart.
Consoles sell based on system sellers. “System sellers†are basically groups of games that will sell consoles. Then there are the rare ones known as killer apps, these are games or features that sell hardware on their own in exceedingly huge numbers (what’s the line? Probably at least 10 million) - these are your Wii Sports, Breath of the Wilds, GTA trilogy, Super Mario Bros, Pokémons (Pokémen?), and even non-gaming applications like DVD playback. And the top selling consoles all have two or more of these - the Switch had 3 (Breath of the Wild, Mario Kart 8DX, and Animal Crossing NH which likely all sold 10 million+ Switches apiece on their own in- and that’s on top of numerous system sellers like Tears of the Kingdom, Mario Odyssey, and more… some system sellers aren’t necessarily big sellers, but they cover a specific niche that a certain subset of players really want. Arguably, the Switch’s ability to go between home console mode and handheld could be a fourth killer app feature.
Before making any calls, I’d like to know what games and features are coming to Switch 2, and what could be a potential killer app. Because Switch 2 won’t get far without system sellers or killer apps, and after consoles like Wii U and Gamecube which had no killer apps, and very little on the system sellers aren’t necessarily front, we’ve seen the proof that Nintendo is not beyond failure. That said, with such a conservative generation, I think a 3DS decline is looking like the worst case scenario at this point, best case scenario is that it hits with greater support than Switch 1, multiple killer apps with virality with few parallels (similar to or exceeding something like Breath of the Wild, Pokémon, or Minecraft).
When we know those answers, things will become more clear. |
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