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Forums - Sales - Famitsu Sales: Week 2, 2025 (Jan 06 - Jan 12)

Shikamo said:

lol Switch 1 selling better than last year doesn't make sense, maybe now with the Swtich 2 announcement the sales will drop a little... I think.

That's maybe the reason why Nintendo is so mad at leaks. 

Maybe they would like to reveal it as late as possible and these kind of leaks obviously forced the disclosure.

Hence now that the successor is not a nebulous topic, ns sales will be affected (except ns lite) while they were still exceptionally good for its age (no "cliff") 

Late adopters is a thing, but not with Oled costing 350+ euroos.

At least finally drop ns lite price to 150,ninty!!!!!!

How much does it cost cost to be produced? 



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tak13 said:
Shikamo said:

lol Switch 1 selling better than last year doesn't make sense, maybe now with the Swtich 2 announcement the sales will drop a little... I think.

That's maybe the reason why Nintendo is so mad at leaks. 

Maybe they would like to reveal it as late as possible and these kind of leaks obviously forced the disclosure.

Hence now that the successor is not a nebulous topic, ns sales will be affected (except ns lite) while they were still exceptionally good for its age (no "cliff") 

Late adopters is a thing, but not with Oled costing 350+ euroos.

At least finally drop ns lite price to 150,ninty!!!!!!

How much does it cost cost to be produced? 

Unlike Sony and Microsoft, Nintendo makes a profit from consoles, so I don't doubt that they are currently doubling their money.



SteamMyAnimeList and Twitter - PSN: Gustavo_Valim - Switch FC: 6390-8693-0129 (=^・ω・^=)

Interesting conclusion!

This happens with the oled version since its release. 

It has been mentioned that the production cost of oled it's just ten dollars more than the og one.

Forbes claims that the new components (screen and few others) cost 5-10$ plus. 

Production etc cost of og ns was 257, hence oled's is 267, it's price is by 50$ higher 300 vs 350

I assume that the new components cost way more (oled screen) , it's just the cost of the original ns ones falling, thus the slight difference in the end. 

Nintendo can sell oled 299 and still reaping a considerable profit.

Ns lite boggles my mind, how low can it get. 

Plus that in the USA is way cheaper than in Europe. 



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Last edited by tak13 - on 18 January 2025

Shikamo said:
tak13 said:

That's maybe the reason why Nintendo is so mad at leaks. 

Maybe they would like to reveal it as late as possible and these kind of leaks obviously forced the disclosure.

Hence now that the successor is not a nebulous topic, ns sales will be affected (except ns lite) while they were still exceptionally good for its age (no "cliff") 

Late adopters is a thing, but not with Oled costing 350+ euroos.

At least finally drop ns lite price to 150,ninty!!!!!!

How much does it cost cost to be produced? 

Unlike Sony and Microsoft, Nintendo makes a profit from consoles, so I don't doubt that they are currently doubling their money.

  •  

Interesting conclusion.

This likely happens with the oled version since its release. 

It has been mentioned that the production cost of oled it's just ten dollars more than the og one.

Forbes claims that the new components (screen and few others) cost 5-10$ plus. 

Production etc cost of og ns was 257, hence oled's is 267, it's price is by 50$ higher 300 vs 350

I assume that the new components cost way more (oled screen) , it's just the cost of the original ns ones falling, thus the slight difference in the end. 

Nintendo can sell oled 299 and still reaping a considerable profit.

Ns lite boggles my mind, how low can it get. 

Plus that in the USA is way cheaper than in Europe. 



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The MSRP for the Switch models is still set at $199/$299/$349 but you can get them from Gamestop right now, for example, for $179/$259/$319. I see no problem with Nintendo lowering to those prices officially once Switch 2 releases... or even a full $50 lower from current MSRP across the board: $149/$249/$299.

A $249 red box Switch 1 with a free game download could exist quite nicely along side a $399 Switch 2, providing a sufficient price differentiation between the two. The former with a vast library of discounted titles, the latter with newly released $70 games.

Still plenty of shelf life left for Switch 1 if Nintendo plays its cards right.



Yeah the Switch 1 could still sell for years to come if Nintendo want it to, as a budget alternative, sort of like the 3DS after the launch of the Switch.

At $200, even without a price cut the Switch Lite fills a valuable niche, at least until the inevitable Switch 2 Lite rocks up in like 2027/8.



Wrong thread

Last edited by vidyaguy - on 18 January 2025

Norion said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

Switch ended 2024 with 3.1M hardware sales and it's up YoY for these first 2 weeks.  Very nice. 

I'm LOL at all of the people who are trying to kill off the Switch in their comments.  Reality is that Switch is up YoY for the past 7 out of 8 weeks, but people just really want it to die.  I've been reading comments like this about the Switch ever since I joined the forum in 2017, and it hasn't fallen off a cliff yet.  We should be expecting gradual YoY drops for the Switch each year.  The cliff is never coming.

This is the 2nd time you've posted something like this so why do you expect the drops to remain gradual? The DS fell of a cliff the year the 3DS came out and the 3DS did the year after the Switch came out so if you're gonna act like what other people are saying is absurd you should really explain why they're wrong cause expecting consumers to not behave radically different with the Switch compared to those two is reasonable I'd say.

I've posted something like this far more than 2 times.  I predicted Switch would be the best selling system of all time in early 2018 (and there is a link to the thread in my signature).  However, there are people who have come out every single year declaring that "this year would finally be the year that Switch sales fall off a cliff".  Of course it never does fall off of a cliff.  The cliff is never coming regardless of how much some people want it to come.  Their reasons all sounded somewhat reasonable at the time, especially if the person really wanted them to be reasonable:

"Switch has already fired all of it's big guns and now it has nothing left."
"OK, actually this is the year where Switch has fired all of it's big guns.  Now it really has nothing left."
"The Switch has no games."
"What people actually want is a system that plays all of the AAA third party games."
"Switch won't keep selling without a Pro model, because what people really want is a big system upgrade."
"The only reason Switch is selling well is because of COVID.  Once lock downs end, then Switch sales are going to really plummet."
"This is the Switch's last big year, because next year Nintendo will release a successor and then Switch sales are over." (2021)
"The Switch can't sell forever." (2021)
"OK, now that COVID lockdowns are over, and it really has fired all of it's big guns, it has nothing left in the tank."
"This is the Switch's last big year, because next year Nintendo will release a successor and then Switch sales are over." (2022)
"The Switch can't sell forever." (2022)
"I'm not saying that Switch sales will fall off a cliff.  I'm just saying that it's going to have a major sales downturn and it can't keep selling forever." (2023)
"Everyone already has a Switch.  Who is left that is going to buy one?"
"Switch sold really well when Tears of the Kingdom released, but holiday sales are a lot lower than expected.  Looks like the Switch is done."
"Switch has been on the market 7 years.  They are going to announce a successor any day now, and then the Switch is through." (2024)
"The Switch can't sell forever." (2024)
"With the Switch 2 reveal it's officially the endgame now for the Switch." (2025)
"Lol sorry to burst your bubble but the cliff is coming, and very soon." (2025)

All of these things were said by people who thought they were being reasonable at the time.  But the biggest problem with this reasoning is that it's very clearly wrong.  A person who was actually being reasonable would say to themselves, "Switch sure is selling a lot better than I thought,  I wonder why that is?"  And an unreasonable person would say, "that wasn't the year the Switch failed, but surely this is finally the year that it's over."

The reality is that we have a lot of consoles in gaming history that were the most successful of their generation, and all of them sold somewhat after their successor released.  The system that was the worst at this is the DS, and the system that was the best at this was the PS2 (and we'll exclude the GameBoy, because that was a very special case).  A reasonable estimate for how Switch will sell after Switch 2 releases would be significantly better than the DS, but not as good as the PS2.

Since you are predicting the Switch's tail end to be like the DS, you aren't being reasonable.  You are either wishing the Switch will fail or you are just plain lazy.  Currently you are falling into the category of people who have been predicting the Switch's inevitable fail and have been wrong for 8 years straight.  You can do better.



We don't know how long Nintendo will continue Switch production, there are analysts that expect Nintendo wants to sell 20 million Switch 2 units in year 1, so that could mean that Nintendo will shift all of their production to Switch 2 pretty quick, we can't rule that out, if the demand for the Switch 2 is high, Nintendo may discontinue producing Switch units in favour of Switch 2 units pretty quickly.