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Forums - Politics Discussion - 2024 US Presidential Election

Jumpin on 01 October 2024
Jumpin said:

Harris has caught back up to her previous lead after a dip down to a lesser lead before the debate.

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Others/
Undecided
[a]		Margin
RealClearPoliticsSeptember 3 – September 15, 2024September 18, 202449.3%47.3%3.4%Harris +2.0%
Race to the WHthrough September 18, 2024September 18, 202450.0%45.9%4.1%Harris +4.1%
Decision Desk HQ/The Hillthrough September 18, 2024September 18, 202449.7%46.0%4.3%Harris +3.7%
270toWinthrough September 18, 2024September 18, 202448.5%45.4%6.1%Harris +3.1%
FiveThirtyEightthrough September 18, 2024September 18, 202448.5%45.2%6.3%Harris +3.3%
Silver Bulletinthrough September 18, 2024September 18, 202449.1%46.0%4.9%Harris +3.1%
Average49.2%46.0%4.9%Harris +3.2%

Now at new heights:

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Kamala
Harris
Democratic		Donald
Trump
Republican		Others/
Undecided
[a]		Margin
RealClearPoliticsSeptember 11 – September 25, 2024September 30, 202449.1%47.1%3.8%Harris +2.0%
Race to the WHthrough September 26, 2024September 30, 202450.0%46.1%3.9%Harris +3.9%
Decision Desk HQ/The Hillthrough September 27, 2024September 30, 202450.0%45.8%4.2%Harris +4.2%
270toWinthrough September 27, 2024September 30, 202449.7%45.7%4.6%Harris +4.0%
FiveThirtyEightthrough September 26, 2024September 30, 202448.4%45.7%5.8%Harris +2.8%
Silver Bulletinthrough September 26, 2024September 30, 202449.2%46.0%4.8%Harris +3.2%
Average49.4%46.0%4.4%Harris +3.4%


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SanAndreasX on 01 October 2024

One of my big recent regrets was being in Georgia just a few days too late to see the Carters in their last public appearance in Plains. He is a national treasure. He said he wants to live long enough to cast a vote for Harris. 



Bofferbrauer2 on 01 October 2024
SanAndreasX said:

One of my big recent regrets was being in Georgia just a few days too late to see the Carters in their last public appearance in Plains. He is a national treasure. He said he wants to live long enough to cast a vote for Harris. 

How are the odds of Carter outliving Trump and Biden?



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haxxiy on 01 October 2024
Bofferbrauer2 said:

How are the odds of Carter outliving Trump and Biden?

Probably not a lot. Statistically speaking he has some 2 years of life left on average vs. around 8 for Biden and Trump.

On the other hand, Bush and Clinton should outlive the two most recent presidents.



 

 

 

 

 

SanAndreasX on 01 October 2024
Bofferbrauer2 said:
SanAndreasX said:

One of my big recent regrets was being in Georgia just a few days too late to see the Carters in their last public appearance in Plains. He is a national treasure. He said he wants to live long enough to cast a vote for Harris. 

How are the odds of Carter outliving Trump and Biden?

As tough as he is, doubtful. I’m amazed he made it to 100. Rosalynn died almost a year ago, and they were very close and had been married for 77 years. People often don’t live long after a spouse passes.  He’s been ready to go. He’s on hospice and living with his grandkids. It would be a thing of wonder if he were alive to watch Harris’s inauguration. 



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SanAndreasX on 01 October 2024
haxxiy said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

How are the odds of Carter outliving Trump and Biden?

Probably not a lot. Statistically speaking he has some 2 years of life left on average vs. around 8 for Biden and Trump.

On the other hand, Bush and Clinton should outlive the two most recent presidents.

Bush, Clinton, and Trump were all born in 1946. And they were born within a month and a half of each other.

Last edited by SanAndreasX - on 01 October 2024

haxxiy on 01 October 2024
SanAndreasX said:

Bush, Clinton, and Trump were all born in 1946.

One of these is not as healthy as the other two, though... granted, long-lived parents but also a familial history of dementia.



 

 

 

 

 

BFR on 01 October 2024

The fun begins at 9pm Eastern Time.



BFR on 01 October 2024

Game time



BFR on 01 October 2024

1st question: Middle East conflict