EnricoPallazzo said: Reminds me of what happened to Bolsonaro in Brazil. Gave him a huge surge in the polls and pretty much defined his winning. To be fair for Bolsonaro it was much worse as it didnt kill him by just an inch, and he also had to stay in hospital for a long time which allowed him to use the scenes of him on the hospital all the time. Yet, this assassination attempt of Trump will most likely cause the same impact. |
It would be worse if he did die. Violence only leads to more violence. And someone else will take his place.
Pim Fortuyn was assassinated in the Netherlands right before the elections, a right wing populist.
https://www.cnn.com/2002/WORLD/europe/05/06/fortuyn.shooting/index.html
Opinion polls had shown that Fortuyn's De Lijst Fortuyn party, running on an anti-immigration platform, was on course to win about 15 percent of the vote in the parliamentary elections.
Posthumous he won 17% of the vote in the elections which created the shortest coalition in Dutch history (his party imploded without him, infighting), re-elections followed the year after. Yet the ripple effects continue on today. Other parties sprung up in his name, the Dutch political landscape is fragmented today.
https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20231125-far-right-s-geert-wilders-seals-shock-win-in-dutch-election-after-years-on-political-fringe
Trump will get a boost from this. It will give an incentive to his supporters to make sure to vote and people that are on the fence see fragile Biden vs defiant Trump. It adds to his image of a strong leader and people rally behind a strong leadership figure in times of crisis. Which Trump will play up big with his MAGA platform.
I can hear his speech already "I survived the Chinese virus, I survived repeated impeachment attempts, I survived 'smear campaigns' to put me in jail and keep me out of the elections, I even survived a cowardly assassination attempt. I will never give up, I'm here fighting for you" etc etc.