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Forums - Sales Discussion - Spider man 2 Launch weekend sales prediction

 

Spider man 2 opening weeking (3 days) sales

2 to 2.5 million 1 2.13%
 
2.5 to 3 million 1 2.13%
 
3 to 3.5 million 2 4.26%
 
3.5 to 4 million 6 12.77%
 
4 to 4.5 million 4 8.51%
 
4.5 to 5 million 7 14.89%
 
5 to 5.5 million 9 19.15%
 
>5.5 million 17 36.17%
 
Total:47
Drakrami on 29 October 2023

Around 5.5million I think? This game is going to sell massively. The 1st game sold like 25 million or something? This one will top it, by how much? Not sure, but we're looking at 30million+ lifetime.



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IcaroRibeiro on 09 November 2023

It sold 5 million in 10 days

The correct choice was probably 3.5-4.0 million



Kyuu on 09 November 2023
Kyuu said:

I'm guessing 4.5~ million (sell through). I tend to underestimate Sony and Nintendo openings, but I'm factoring this tendency into my prediction.

I made the mistake of scaling through God of War Ragnarok without factoring in the number of days (apparently 2 vs 5 days), but even with that, I clearly overestimated the openings of both this and Mario Wonder.



Geralt99 on 09 November 2023

God of War Ragnarok sold over 5.1 million in 5 days.
Spider man 2 took 11 days to sell the same amount.
God of war Ragnarok still holds the record for fastest selling Sony 1st Party title.
Goes to show that God of war IP is just as strong as Spider man.



DonFerrari on 09 November 2023
Geralt99 said:

God of War Ragnarok sold over 5.1 million in 5 days.
Spider man 2 took 11 days to sell the same amount.
God of war Ragnarok still holds the record for fastest selling Sony 1st Party title.
Goes to show that God of war IP is just as strong as Spider man.

Should factory GoW:R having PS4 version as well so a much bigger userbase.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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Geralt99 on 09 November 2023
DonFerrari said:
Geralt99 said:

God of War Ragnarok sold over 5.1 million in 5 days.
Spider man 2 took 11 days to sell the same amount.
God of war Ragnarok still holds the record for fastest selling Sony 1st Party title.
Goes to show that God of war IP is just as strong as Spider man.

Should factory GoW:R having PS4 version as well so a much bigger userbase.

True, But the God of war Ragnarok had far less PS5's than Spider man 2 (~27million vs 46 million).

So that about balances things out.

Also most of Ragnarok's sales were on PS5.



DonFerrari on 09 November 2023
Geralt99 said:
DonFerrari said:

Should factory GoW:R having PS4 version as well so a much bigger userbase.

True, But the God of war Ragnarok had far less PS5's than Spider man 2 (~27million vs 46 million).

So that about balances things out.

Also most of Ragnarok's sales were on PS5.

Not sure how much it balance out, but it is a fair point. I'm curious to see how GoW:R after 1 year is at.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."