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Kyuu said:

I'm guessing 4.5~ million (sell through). I tend to underestimate Sony and Nintendo openings, but I'm factoring this tendency into my prediction.

I made the mistake of scaling through God of War Ragnarok without factoring in the number of days (apparently 2 vs 5 days), but even with that, I clearly overestimated the openings of both this and Mario Wonder.