it looks like some adjustment in past data?

To the end of this generation Wii will be close to 58-60% marketshare

psrock said: wiifit is going to enough, trust me. That ( what ever it is) will sell more than weeds in my street corner.

 Wii doesn't need any games to get to 50%, it needs hardware supply. 

It will probaly drop a couple .% next week, as American stock should be around 80k.

After ioi's (minor) adjustment to past sales and this week's monster numbers, the Wii is less than 1m behind the 360 in America: 830k total. Reggie's ambitious prediction of passing that number in June is looking a lot more plausible.

The biggest thing that will slow or stop the Wii from moving towards 50% market share isn't even supply, it's sales of the 360 and PS3. If their combined sales level off at approximately 300k/week worldwide, the Wii will continue to gain market share. If they increase, it will be tough for the Wii to do much better than treading water, even with its great sales.

Woopee dooo - who cares? Please create a thread when the Wii say reaches 45% and 50% market shre. No need to create a thread for every 0.1% increase in market share. Crapthreads  like attracts more interest instead of Feature articles on AAA games such as Gears of War 2. Check it out! http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=24658

Here are some numbers for those interested:

Taking the average weekly WW hardware numbers from the second week in Jan until the end of March and using it as a baseline of sales for the rest of the year the Wii will never achieve 50% market share at that pace. It needs to sell about another 10k units a week on average at those paces to ever break 50%.

However, just going from the beginning of March until present its about 7.1k ahead of the pace it needs to eventually get a 50% market share. Unfortunately at this pace it will take about 398 weeks (aka about 7.65 years). So if its going to pass 50% it needs to increase sales relative to its overall competition.

If you want to play with the numbers and pacing of each console the formula is simple enough for anyone who remembers algebra and can do basic plug & chug:



W=your weekly sales pace estimate for the Wii
P=your weekly sales pace estimate for the PS3
X=your weekly sales pace estimate for the X360

Wii=current Wii LTD
PS3=current PS3 LTD
360=current X360 LTD
LTD=Sum of all console LTDs (right now its 54.8)=PS3+360+Wii

I=What you solve for and is the number of weeks it will take to hit 50% market share. Negative result means it will never happen.

Note that if you want to find out what it will take to get to 60% market share you would just change the 0.5 to 0.6 etc... maybe some of you are as obcessive as I am =) 

what's the ps2's marketshare for last gen?

The Ghost of RubangB said: DMeisterJ said: These Wii percentage threads are starting to get as annoying as whenever the PS3 sells a million units, or gets another million seller. This is the first one I've started, and the first one I've seen in a long time, and this is the first time I think it's been such a huge unexpected jump in a week with no huge releases.  I know it's just the same old random supply issues, so it can happen at any time, but I thought this kind of leap would happen closer to Wii Fit and Mario Kart in the U.S.  I think production's ramping up AND there will be a huge jump around Wii Fit and Mario Kart, AND it's all downhill from here to the Wii getting 110% OF WW MARKETSHARE.

 

The Wii will actually get 110% of market share due to the fact that aliens from other planets will soon start to buy them, then all ps3 and 360's will self destruct, leaving Nintendo with a greater than 100% market share due to extraterestrial sales. However, the aliens will have problems getting a wii due to the fcat that Nintendo will still only be making 2 million units a month, and most will still be going to the US.

I'm a little confused.... Can anyone tell me how roughly 80,000 units above the PS3 and 360 combined totals pushes the Wii up .4%? I know the gap will increase with Japans numbers, but I'm just not seeing how one week changes it so much...