KiigelHeart said:
Qwark said:
This war is economic suicide for Russia it didn't stop them. Nuking Ukraine and let the wind blow radioactive ashes and particles over Europe is a way out to say I lost, but so did my enemie and most of its allies. Which will probably also be pushed by the UN to restore Ukraine and deal with the refugee crisis. Also using a nuke would ensure NATO not going after Russia. I mean which country will invade another country which not only had enough nukes to kill every civilian in that country but is also willing to use it. The old system of bilateral trade ensures peace doesn't work anymore. |
They did not expect this to be an economic suicide. Nuking Ukraine and letting a wind blow radioactive waste everywhere is not a way out of anything, not even Russian leaders would be dumb enough to use that kind of logic. Using a nuke would ensure they'll lose whatever support they have from countries like China. |
Why would China care so much though. It's not like trade with Europe will stop or even significantly decrease because of it, nor will Europe impose sanctions on China. Also Europe will still likely keep buying gas from Russia, perhaps less oil although an EU accord is unlikely. However Ukraine is spirit will be broken after a nuclear attack and probably the war will be over pretty fast afterwards.
I really don't see nuking Ukraine will have that much of a backlash for Russia. Sure UN would say this is bad Russia, don't do that anymore. Especially if they sell their oil a bit cheaper than other OPEC countries. Most developing countries like India and China will buy as much energy as they can regardless. For Russia this is far cheaper than waging this war anyway.
I hope Russia doesn't nuke Ukraine, but at this moment they are losing and don't have a non humiliating way out. So I think it's not as far fetched as we think. Especially since non western countries+ Japan, Taiwan and South Korea, by now practically criticized the sanctions more than the invasion. China, Brazil (depends on fertilizers) and India won't sanction Russia and could economically ensure the survival of the country.