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Forums - Sales Discussion - The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

Torpoleon said:

@archbrix @Fight-the-Streets $300 in 2017 would be the equivalent of almost $400 today (about $386), so if the Switch would technically cost $400 basically in today's dollars, it's not unreasonable to expect a successor to be $450-$500. The PS5 has no problems keeping close to the PS4's sales trajectory despite the much higher price (and severe supply constraints early on).

Inflation isn't exactly an accurate metric though.

Take the PS1 and the Xbox, which were both sold at a loss at launch:  PS1 would be right about $500 in 2020, which lines up with the PS5 perfectly.  But an Xbox in 2020 would be $439, which is cheaper than the Series X.  I'm sure Microsoft took a bigger loss than Sony with their OG systems, but neither of the new consoles sold at a loss at all in 2020.  So there are other variables at play.

I think the main thing to consider here is that we are talking about Nintendo.  I had originally pegged the Switch 2 anywhere between $419 - $449 when you consider the dock, etc.  And I don't think that $450 is out of the question, but that would be the absolute maximum in my opinion.  I would bet money that Switch 2 (physical) is not as much as $499.  Not unless it's bundled with a game or some extensive extras.