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CheddarPlease said:

In terms of shipped, it's gonna be at 153m by the end of March. I don't see how they wouldn't be able to push another 6m this year with Legends Z-A and Metroid Prime 4, which would get it to 159m by March 2026. Imo the only way they don't outsell the PS2 at this point is if Nintendo deliberately kills production and refuses to cut the price like what Sony did with the PS4 (and mind you the only reason they did that was b/c of the pandemic)

I can see it selling less than 6 million. The DS only sold 5 million when the year 3DS came out. And that was with a bad 3DS launch and DS being cheap and getting more Pokemon games. There comes a point when the market is saturated. Nintendo are about to drop their Switch Sales forecast for the 2nd time this past year.

The only way the Switch sells some of these optimistic projections people are making is with a big price cut and there's no guarantee Nintendo will do that in the current tech climate.