If Switch 2 is coming out mid or late 2025 i think its a lock that Switch will surpass Playstation 2 sales, Switch sales will crater WW next year but as long as its the main Nintendo console it will still net higher sales than it would after a new Nintendo console is launched. So if Switch sells 10-11 million this year, it should have a decline of around 40-50 % next year to around 5-6 million sales. After that they would only need 2-3 million more sales to pass the PS2 which i think will happen.

Right now i would not call 160 million guaranteed but IF Nintendo meets their FC, 160 million will be the floor. After recent rumors and the situation we have (november 1 and still no Switch Up announcement) my original march 2025 prediction from 2019 walks on thin ice. So yes IF the Switch Up really takes more time, chances for "nuclear explosion" on the gaming market get more likly...