| curl-6 said: Nintendo shipped 6.9 million systems last holiday quarter, so if it's down by 30% this year as seems to be the trend, that's still 4.6 million which would place it over 150m shipped at the end of this year. |
Indeed, Switch will be over 150m shipped by the end of this calendar year with no problem, as it would have to ship less than 3.96m this holiday quarter for that to happen.
| kilik said: I think it will be at 151-152 million by end of the year. |
Perhaps a bit overzealous for me but certainly more realistic than some of the predictions I've seen.
| CourageTCD said: I don't think the Switch will have sales as good as the 3DS's after its successor release, because Switch 2's retrocompatibility. I expect a decrease of 50%~60% in sales compared to this fiscal year's sales result |
On the other hand, Switch's account system and library are fully transferable to its successor, presumably within the same "Switch" family of systems, as opposed to the 3DS becoming a dead-end platform by comparison.
The clincher for me though, is that the Switch's available library of games is just so many levels of magnitude greater than the 3DS could ever dream of, comprised of some monstrously popular titles. Combine that with the fact that there will certainly still be a place for a $200 - $300 console from Nintendo and its continued support for the platform into next fiscal with titles like Pokemon Legends and Prime 4. Then, the prospects of it (at least) matching the 3DS' twilight sales become far more likely.
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