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Nintendo shipped 6.9 million systems last holiday quarter, so if it's down by 30% this year as seems to be the trend, that's still 4.6 million which would place it over 150m shipped at the end of this year.

How much it sells next year is anybody's guess at this point, as we have to clue when its successor will arrive, but 10m more until its discontinued isn't much of a long shot considering the 3DS sold another 9 million units after it was replaced and it had far less momentum at that point than Switch currently has.